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	<title>Comments on: Laying Odds Part 2: National League</title>
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		<title>By: Grace</title>
		<link>http://seamheads.com/2008/08/01/laying-odds-part-2-national-league/comment-page-1/#comment-3278</link>
		<dc:creator>Grace</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 20 Aug 2008 09:52:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://seamheads.com/blog/2008/08/01/laying-odds-part-2-national-league/#comment-3278</guid>
		<description>Do you really think that HEARST would have raped and killed Alma??
I don&#039;t think he would have.&lt;div class=&quot;comment-remix-meta&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;#&quot; class=&quot;replyto&quot; onclick=&quot;replyto(&#039;3278&#039;,&#039;Grace&#039;); return false;&quot;&gt;Reply&lt;/a&gt;  - &lt;a href=&quot;#&quot; class=&quot;quote&quot; onclick=&quot;quote(&#039;3278&#039;,&#039;Grace&#039;,&#039;Do you really think that HEARST would have raped and killed Alma??\r\nI don\&#039;t think he would have.&#039;); return false;&quot;&gt;Quote&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Do you really think that HEARST would have raped and killed Alma??<br />
I don&#8217;t think he would have.
<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('3278','Grace'); return false;">Reply</a>  &#8211; <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('3278','Grace','Do you really think that HEARST would have raped and killed Alma??\r\nI don\'t think he would have.'); return false;">Quote</a></div>
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		<title>By: Mike Lynch</title>
		<link>http://seamheads.com/2008/08/01/laying-odds-part-2-national-league/comment-page-1/#comment-3153</link>
		<dc:creator>Mike Lynch</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 Aug 2008 20:41:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://seamheads.com/blog/2008/08/01/laying-odds-part-2-national-league/#comment-3153</guid>
		<description></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;Cherry picking his last 5 appearances when heÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s made 44 on the year is hardly a good argument if youÃ¢â‚¬â„¢re going to talk about a reliever. If he has a 5.4 ERA in his last 10 and a 9 ERA in his last 5, then whatÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s his ERA for the 5 before that? ~1.80&#8243;</p>
<p>I agree.  I didn&#8217;t say Wood wasn&#8217;t fantastic over most of the first half of the season (he was), and it&#8217;s hardly fair to judge his entire body of work on a couple of bad outings.  All I said was that it wasn&#8217;t much of a stretch to call Wood &#8220;shaky&#8221; considering his ERA and WHIP since June 15.
<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('3153','Mike Lynch'); return false;">Reply</a>  &#8211; <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('3153','Mike Lynch','\&quot;Cherry picking his last 5 appearances when he&Atilde;&cent;&acirc;‚&not;&acirc;„&cent;s made 44 on the year is hardly a good argument if you&Atilde;&cent;&acirc;‚&not;&acirc;„&cent;re going to talk about a reliever. If he has a 5.4 ERA in his last 10 and a 9 ERA in his last 5, then what&Atilde;&cent;&acirc;‚&not;&acirc;„&cent;s his ERA for the 5 before that? ~1.80\&quot;\r\n\r\nI agree.  I didn\'t say Wood wasn\'t fantastic over most of the first half of the season (he was), and it\'s hardly fair to judge his entire body of work on a couple of bad outings.  All I said was that it wasn\'t much of a stretch to call Wood \&quot;shaky\&quot; considering his ERA and WHIP since June 15.'); return false;">Quote</a></div>
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		<title>By: ER</title>
		<link>http://seamheads.com/2008/08/01/laying-odds-part-2-national-league/comment-page-1/#comment-3152</link>
		<dc:creator>ER</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 Aug 2008 14:30:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://seamheads.com/blog/2008/08/01/laying-odds-part-2-national-league/#comment-3152</guid>
		<description>I appreciate good humor and even more than that, I appreciate a Yankees fan believing in the Mets (even when some of us Mets fans want to forget that it&#039;s still baseball season).

Keep up the great work, Josh!&lt;div class=&quot;comment-remix-meta&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;#&quot; class=&quot;replyto&quot; onclick=&quot;replyto(&#039;3152&#039;,&#039;ER&#039;); return false;&quot;&gt;Reply&lt;/a&gt;  - &lt;a href=&quot;#&quot; class=&quot;quote&quot; onclick=&quot;quote(&#039;3152&#039;,&#039;ER&#039;,&#039;I appreciate good humor and even more than that, I appreciate a Yankees fan believing in the Mets (even when some of us Mets fans want to forget that it\&#039;s still baseball season).\r\n\r\nKeep up the great work, Josh!&#039;); return false;&quot;&gt;Quote&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I appreciate good humor and even more than that, I appreciate a Yankees fan believing in the Mets (even when some of us Mets fans want to forget that it&#8217;s still baseball season).</p>
<p>Keep up the great work, Josh!
<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('3152','ER'); return false;">Reply</a>  &#8211; <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('3152','ER','I appreciate good humor and even more than that, I appreciate a Yankees fan believing in the Mets (even when some of us Mets fans want to forget that it\'s still baseball season).\r\n\r\nKeep up the great work, Josh!'); return false;">Quote</a></div>
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		<title>By: Tim</title>
		<link>http://seamheads.com/2008/08/01/laying-odds-part-2-national-league/comment-page-1/#comment-3151</link>
		<dc:creator>Tim</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 Aug 2008 14:06:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://seamheads.com/blog/2008/08/01/laying-odds-part-2-national-league/#comment-3151</guid>
		<description>BP has Kerry Wood&#039;s VoRP at 14.3, good for 5th overall on closers.  There was one closer who&#039;s having a good season that I completely forgot about:  Kevin Gregg.

Anyhow, Kerry Wood is sporting a 4.12/1 K/BB ratio, with a 1.01 WHIP and a .301 BABIP, which is significantly higher than other closers.  Cherry picking his last 5 appearances when he&#039;s made 44 on the year is hardly a good argument if you&#039;re going to talk about a reliever.  If he has a 5.4 ERA in his last 10 and a 9 ERA in his last 5, then what&#039;s his ERA for the 5 before that?  ~1.80

Now, if you want to talk about relievers in general, then yes, Kerry Wood is no longer a top 5 pitcher.  Okajima, Morrow, Marmol, Shields, Balfour, etc have been amazing this year as well.  Sadly, the bullpen ace isn&#039;t the person who gets paid the most, the one with the highest SV total is.&lt;div class=&quot;comment-remix-meta&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;#&quot; class=&quot;replyto&quot; onclick=&quot;replyto(&#039;3151&#039;,&#039;Tim&#039;); return false;&quot;&gt;Reply&lt;/a&gt;  - &lt;a href=&quot;#&quot; class=&quot;quote&quot; onclick=&quot;quote(&#039;3151&#039;,&#039;Tim&#039;,&#039;BP has Kerry Wood\&#039;s VoRP at 14.3, good for 5th overall on closers.  There was one closer who\&#039;s having a good season that I completely forgot about:  Kevin Gregg.\r\n\r\nAnyhow, Kerry Wood is sporting a 4.12\/1 K\/BB ratio, with a 1.01 WHIP and a .301 BABIP, which is significantly higher than other closers.  Cherry picking his last 5 appearances when he\&#039;s made 44 on the year is hardly a good argument if you\&#039;re going to talk about a reliever.  If he has a 5.4 ERA in his last 10 and a 9 ERA in his last 5, then what\&#039;s his ERA for the 5 before that?  ~1.80\r\n\r\nNow, if you want to talk about relievers in general, then yes, Kerry Wood is no longer a top 5 pitcher.  Okajima, Morrow, Marmol, Shields, Balfour, etc have been amazing this year as well.  Sadly, the bullpen ace isn\&#039;t the person who gets paid the most, the one with the highest SV total is.&#039;); return false;&quot;&gt;Quote&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>BP has Kerry Wood&#8217;s VoRP at 14.3, good for 5th overall on closers.  There was one closer who&#8217;s having a good season that I completely forgot about:  Kevin Gregg.</p>
<p>Anyhow, Kerry Wood is sporting a 4.12/1 K/BB ratio, with a 1.01 WHIP and a .301 BABIP, which is significantly higher than other closers.  Cherry picking his last 5 appearances when he&#8217;s made 44 on the year is hardly a good argument if you&#8217;re going to talk about a reliever.  If he has a 5.4 ERA in his last 10 and a 9 ERA in his last 5, then what&#8217;s his ERA for the 5 before that?  ~1.80</p>
<p>Now, if you want to talk about relievers in general, then yes, Kerry Wood is no longer a top 5 pitcher.  Okajima, Morrow, Marmol, Shields, Balfour, etc have been amazing this year as well.  Sadly, the bullpen ace isn&#8217;t the person who gets paid the most, the one with the highest SV total is.
<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('3151','Tim'); return false;">Reply</a>  &#8211; <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('3151','Tim','BP has Kerry Wood\'s VoRP at 14.3, good for 5th overall on closers.  There was one closer who\'s having a good season that I completely forgot about:  Kevin Gregg.\r\n\r\nAnyhow, Kerry Wood is sporting a 4.12\/1 K\/BB ratio, with a 1.01 WHIP and a .301 BABIP, which is significantly higher than other closers.  Cherry picking his last 5 appearances when he\'s made 44 on the year is hardly a good argument if you\'re going to talk about a reliever.  If he has a 5.4 ERA in his last 10 and a 9 ERA in his last 5, then what\'s his ERA for the 5 before that?  ~1.80\r\n\r\nNow, if you want to talk about relievers in general, then yes, Kerry Wood is no longer a top 5 pitcher.  Okajima, Morrow, Marmol, Shields, Balfour, etc have been amazing this year as well.  Sadly, the bullpen ace isn\'t the person who gets paid the most, the one with the highest SV total is.'); return false;">Quote</a></div>
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		<title>By: Mike Lynch</title>
		<link>http://seamheads.com/2008/08/01/laying-odds-part-2-national-league/comment-page-1/#comment-3145</link>
		<dc:creator>Mike Lynch</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 Aug 2008 07:16:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://seamheads.com/blog/2008/08/01/laying-odds-part-2-national-league/#comment-3145</guid>
		<description></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;Professionalism is an important thing in journalism. If you want to be taken seriously, do some research. Kerry Wood has been a BEAST as a closer this year. There are maybe 3 closers in the entire league who are pitching better than him, and you think heÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s shaky?&#8221;</p>
<p>Wood has blown five saves in 29 opportunities and has a 9.00 ERA in his last five appearances.  If you want to chalk that up to one poor outing (July 5 at St. Louis) that&#8217;s fine, but he also has a 5.40 ERA and a 1.92 WHIP dating back to June 15 (10 appearances).  The five blown saves are nothing out of the ordinary, but he&#8217;s far from being a sure thing  (few closers are).  He ranks among the top five N.L. closers in at least six categories by my count, but is eighth in ERA and his 3.02 is nothing special for a closer.  If you want to call him a top five N.L. closer, that&#8217;s fine, but he&#8217;s not quite as BEASTLY as you think, and I don&#8217;t think calling him &#8220;shaky&#8221;, at least since June 15, is much of a stretch.  Try doing a little research of your own before coming here and blasting others&#8217; opinions.
<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('3145','Mike Lynch'); return false;">Reply</a>  &#8211; <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('3145','Mike Lynch','\&quot;Professionalism is an important thing in journalism. If you want to be taken seriously, do some research. Kerry Wood has been a BEAST as a closer this year. There are maybe 3 closers in the entire league who are pitching better than him, and you think he&Atilde;&cent;&acirc;‚&not;&acirc;„&cent;s shaky?\&quot;\r\n\r\nWood has blown five saves in 29 opportunities and has a 9.00 ERA in his last five appearances.  If you want to chalk that up to one poor outing (July 5 at St. Louis) that\'s fine, but he also has a 5.40 ERA and a 1.92 WHIP dating back to June 15 (10 appearances).  The five blown saves are nothing out of the ordinary, but he\'s far from being a sure thing  (few closers are).  He ranks among the top five N.L. closers in at least six categories by my count, but is eighth in ERA and his 3.02 is nothing special for a closer.  If you want to call him a top five N.L. closer, that\'s fine, but he\'s not quite as BEASTLY as you think, and I don\'t think calling him \&quot;shaky\&quot;, at least since June 15, is much of a stretch.  Try doing a little research of your own before coming here and blasting others\' opinions.'); return false;">Quote</a></div>
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		<title>By: Tim</title>
		<link>http://seamheads.com/2008/08/01/laying-odds-part-2-national-league/comment-page-1/#comment-3143</link>
		<dc:creator>Tim</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 Aug 2008 05:06:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://seamheads.com/blog/2008/08/01/laying-odds-part-2-national-league/#comment-3143</guid>
		<description>That&#039;s not an excuse.  If you want to write a column about &quot;laying odds&quot; on contenders, then actually do it.  At least make them close.  I don&#039;t care if you&#039;re 5% off in your totals, but how hard is it to look at Baseball Prospectus and take a look at their projected odds to see how yours match up?

Professionalism is an important thing in journalism.  If you want to be taken seriously, do some research.  Kerry Wood has been a BEAST as a closer this year.  There are maybe 3 closers in the entire league who are pitching better than him, and you think he&#039;s shaky?

Lidge is better than Wood this year.  He has made countless outs in pressure situations.  As long as he isn&#039;t facing Albert Pujols in the NLCS, you can pretty safely rely on him.  28/28 in SV opportunities with about a 12 K/9 rate.&lt;div class=&quot;comment-remix-meta&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;#&quot; class=&quot;replyto&quot; onclick=&quot;replyto(&#039;3143&#039;,&#039;Tim&#039;); return false;&quot;&gt;Reply&lt;/a&gt;  - &lt;a href=&quot;#&quot; class=&quot;quote&quot; onclick=&quot;quote(&#039;3143&#039;,&#039;Tim&#039;,&#039;That\&#039;s not an excuse.  If you want to write a column about \&quot;laying odds\&quot; on contenders, then actually do it.  At least make them close.  I don\&#039;t care if you\&#039;re 5% off in your totals, but how hard is it to look at Baseball Prospectus and take a look at their projected odds to see how yours match up?\r\n\r\nProfessionalism is an important thing in journalism.  If you want to be taken seriously, do some research.  Kerry Wood has been a BEAST as a closer this year.  There are maybe 3 closers in the entire league who are pitching better than him, and you think he\&#039;s shaky?\r\n\r\nLidge is better than Wood this year.  He has made countless outs in pressure situations.  As long as he isn\&#039;t facing Albert Pujols in the NLCS, you can pretty safely rely on him.  28\/28 in SV opportunities with about a 12 K\/9 rate.&#039;); return false;&quot;&gt;Quote&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>That&#8217;s not an excuse.  If you want to write a column about &#8220;laying odds&#8221; on contenders, then actually do it.  At least make them close.  I don&#8217;t care if you&#8217;re 5% off in your totals, but how hard is it to look at Baseball Prospectus and take a look at their projected odds to see how yours match up?</p>
<p>Professionalism is an important thing in journalism.  If you want to be taken seriously, do some research.  Kerry Wood has been a BEAST as a closer this year.  There are maybe 3 closers in the entire league who are pitching better than him, and you think he&#8217;s shaky?</p>
<p>Lidge is better than Wood this year.  He has made countless outs in pressure situations.  As long as he isn&#8217;t facing Albert Pujols in the NLCS, you can pretty safely rely on him.  28/28 in SV opportunities with about a 12 K/9 rate.
<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('3143','Tim'); return false;">Reply</a>  &#8211; <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('3143','Tim','That\'s not an excuse.  If you want to write a column about \&quot;laying odds\&quot; on contenders, then actually do it.  At least make them close.  I don\'t care if you\'re 5% off in your totals, but how hard is it to look at Baseball Prospectus and take a look at their projected odds to see how yours match up?\r\n\r\nProfessionalism is an important thing in journalism.  If you want to be taken seriously, do some research.  Kerry Wood has been a BEAST as a closer this year.  There are maybe 3 closers in the entire league who are pitching better than him, and you think he\'s shaky?\r\n\r\nLidge is better than Wood this year.  He has made countless outs in pressure situations.  As long as he isn\'t facing Albert Pujols in the NLCS, you can pretty safely rely on him.  28\/28 in SV opportunities with about a 12 K\/9 rate.'); return false;">Quote</a></div>
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		<title>By: Josh Deitch</title>
		<link>http://seamheads.com/2008/08/01/laying-odds-part-2-national-league/comment-page-1/#comment-3141</link>
		<dc:creator>Josh Deitch</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 Aug 2008 02:10:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://seamheads.com/blog/2008/08/01/laying-odds-part-2-national-league/#comment-3141</guid>
		<description>OK, first of all, I really appreciate the fact that you guys are reading.  Second, I was really using this column to order the contenders in my mind.  I was not setting realistic odds, but trying to illustrate the chance I felt teams had in winning their division.  I looked at the odds gimmick as a betting line: if I put down a dollar, how much did I expect in return if the team I bet on won.  I was not offering my numbers as gospel and pure percentages but more as a guideline to show where I felt these teams stand.  Just like I put a JumboTron in Wrigley Field (obviously false), the numbers were meant as entertainment.
Again, thanks for reading.  It means a lot, and I will try to be more clear with ideas like this in the future.&lt;div class=&quot;comment-remix-meta&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;#&quot; class=&quot;replyto&quot; onclick=&quot;replyto(&#039;3141&#039;,&#039;Josh Deitch&#039;); return false;&quot;&gt;Reply&lt;/a&gt;  - &lt;a href=&quot;#&quot; class=&quot;quote&quot; onclick=&quot;quote(&#039;3141&#039;,&#039;Josh Deitch&#039;,&#039;OK, first of all, I really appreciate the fact that you guys are reading.  Second, I was really using this column to order the contenders in my mind.  I was not setting realistic odds, but trying to illustrate the chance I felt teams had in winning their division.  I looked at the odds gimmick as a betting line: if I put down a dollar, how much did I expect in return if the team I bet on won.  I was not offering my numbers as gospel and pure percentages but more as a guideline to show where I felt these teams stand.  Just like I put a JumboTron in Wrigley Field (obviously false), the numbers were meant as entertainment.\r\nAgain, thanks for reading.  It means a lot, and I will try to be more clear with ideas like this in the future.&#039;); return false;&quot;&gt;Quote&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>OK, first of all, I really appreciate the fact that you guys are reading.  Second, I was really using this column to order the contenders in my mind.  I was not setting realistic odds, but trying to illustrate the chance I felt teams had in winning their division.  I looked at the odds gimmick as a betting line: if I put down a dollar, how much did I expect in return if the team I bet on won.  I was not offering my numbers as gospel and pure percentages but more as a guideline to show where I felt these teams stand.  Just like I put a JumboTron in Wrigley Field (obviously false), the numbers were meant as entertainment.<br />
Again, thanks for reading.  It means a lot, and I will try to be more clear with ideas like this in the future.
<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('3141','Josh Deitch'); return false;">Reply</a>  &#8211; <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('3141','Josh Deitch','OK, first of all, I really appreciate the fact that you guys are reading.  Second, I was really using this column to order the contenders in my mind.  I was not setting realistic odds, but trying to illustrate the chance I felt teams had in winning their division.  I looked at the odds gimmick as a betting line: if I put down a dollar, how much did I expect in return if the team I bet on won.  I was not offering my numbers as gospel and pure percentages but more as a guideline to show where I felt these teams stand.  Just like I put a JumboTron in Wrigley Field (obviously false), the numbers were meant as entertainment.\r\nAgain, thanks for reading.  It means a lot, and I will try to be more clear with ideas like this in the future.'); return false;">Quote</a></div>
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		<title>By: trajan</title>
		<link>http://seamheads.com/2008/08/01/laying-odds-part-2-national-league/comment-page-1/#comment-3134</link>
		<dc:creator>trajan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 04 Aug 2008 21:37:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://seamheads.com/blog/2008/08/01/laying-odds-part-2-national-league/#comment-3134</guid>
		<description>wood shaky at best?    look at his numbers bud...wood&#039;s been pretty solid as a closer, his whip is just over 1.00 and his K/BB ratio is a superb 55/13.  He&#039;s been a damn good closer this year.&lt;div class=&quot;comment-remix-meta&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;#&quot; class=&quot;replyto&quot; onclick=&quot;replyto(&#039;3134&#039;,&#039;trajan&#039;); return false;&quot;&gt;Reply&lt;/a&gt;  - &lt;a href=&quot;#&quot; class=&quot;quote&quot; onclick=&quot;quote(&#039;3134&#039;,&#039;trajan&#039;,&#039;wood shaky at best?    look at his numbers bud...wood\&#039;s been pretty solid as a closer, his whip is just over 1.00 and his K\/BB ratio is a superb 55\/13.  He\&#039;s been a damn good closer this year.&#039;); return false;&quot;&gt;Quote&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>wood shaky at best?    look at his numbers bud&#8230;wood&#8217;s been pretty solid as a closer, his whip is just over 1.00 and his K/BB ratio is a superb 55/13.  He&#8217;s been a damn good closer this year.
<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('3134','trajan'); return false;">Reply</a>  &#8211; <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('3134','trajan','wood shaky at best?    look at his numbers bud...wood\'s been pretty solid as a closer, his whip is just over 1.00 and his K\/BB ratio is a superb 55\/13.  He\'s been a damn good closer this year.'); return false;">Quote</a></div>
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		<title>By: Tim</title>
		<link>http://seamheads.com/2008/08/01/laying-odds-part-2-national-league/comment-page-1/#comment-3131</link>
		<dc:creator>Tim</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 04 Aug 2008 17:24:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://seamheads.com/blog/2008/08/01/laying-odds-part-2-national-league/#comment-3131</guid>
		<description>I&#039;d like to clarify, I meant 75% chance to win the NL West.  The 83% chance represents the odds that the &quot;favorite&quot; doesn&#039;t win the division.&lt;div class=&quot;comment-remix-meta&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;#&quot; class=&quot;replyto&quot; onclick=&quot;replyto(&#039;3131&#039;,&#039;Tim&#039;); return false;&quot;&gt;Reply&lt;/a&gt;  - &lt;a href=&quot;#&quot; class=&quot;quote&quot; onclick=&quot;quote(&#039;3131&#039;,&#039;Tim&#039;,&#039;I\&#039;d like to clarify, I meant 75% chance to win the NL West.  The 83% chance represents the odds that the \&quot;favorite\&quot; doesn\&#039;t win the division.&#039;); return false;&quot;&gt;Quote&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;d like to clarify, I meant 75% chance to win the NL West.  The 83% chance represents the odds that the &#8220;favorite&#8221; doesn&#8217;t win the division.
<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('3131','Tim'); return false;">Reply</a>  &#8211; <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('3131','Tim','I\'d like to clarify, I meant 75% chance to win the NL West.  The 83% chance represents the odds that the \&quot;favorite\&quot; doesn\'t win the division.'); return false;">Quote</a></div>
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		<title>By: Adam</title>
		<link>http://seamheads.com/2008/08/01/laying-odds-part-2-national-league/comment-page-1/#comment-3130</link>
		<dc:creator>Adam</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 04 Aug 2008 15:40:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://seamheads.com/blog/2008/08/01/laying-odds-part-2-national-league/#comment-3130</guid>
		<description>I know you were probably joking around, but you don&#039;t seriously think that Wrigley has a Jumbotron, do you?

Also, you realize that when laying odds, you have to create something that adds up to 100%, right?  You&#039;ve given the Padres and Giants well over a 50% combined chance of winning the NL West simply by virtue of not including them in this list.&lt;div class=&quot;comment-remix-meta&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;#&quot; class=&quot;replyto&quot; onclick=&quot;replyto(&#039;3130&#039;,&#039;Adam&#039;); return false;&quot;&gt;Reply&lt;/a&gt;  - &lt;a href=&quot;#&quot; class=&quot;quote&quot; onclick=&quot;quote(&#039;3130&#039;,&#039;Adam&#039;,&#039;I know you were probably joking around, but you don\&#039;t seriously think that Wrigley has a Jumbotron, do you?\r\n\r\nAlso, you realize that when laying odds, you have to create something that adds up to 100%, right?  You\&#039;ve given the Padres and Giants well over a 50% combined chance of winning the NL West simply by virtue of not including them in this list.&#039;); return false;&quot;&gt;Quote&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I know you were probably joking around, but you don&#8217;t seriously think that Wrigley has a Jumbotron, do you?</p>
<p>Also, you realize that when laying odds, you have to create something that adds up to 100%, right?  You&#8217;ve given the Padres and Giants well over a 50% combined chance of winning the NL West simply by virtue of not including them in this list.
<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('3130','Adam'); return false;">Reply</a>  &#8211; <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('3130','Adam','I know you were probably joking around, but you don\'t seriously think that Wrigley has a Jumbotron, do you?\r\n\r\nAlso, you realize that when laying odds, you have to create something that adds up to 100%, right?  You\'ve given the Padres and Giants well over a 50% combined chance of winning the NL West simply by virtue of not including them in this list.'); return false;">Quote</a></div>
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		<title>By: Tim</title>
		<link>http://seamheads.com/2008/08/01/laying-odds-part-2-national-league/comment-page-1/#comment-3129</link>
		<dc:creator>Tim</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 04 Aug 2008 14:33:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://seamheads.com/blog/2008/08/01/laying-odds-part-2-national-league/#comment-3129</guid>
		<description>Congratulations to the Giants and the Padres!  They have a combined 83% chance of winning the division.

I never know what to think of articles like this.  half the time I just think they&#039;re bait. No professional writer should have such a complete lack of a grasp on basic math.&lt;div class=&quot;comment-remix-meta&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;#&quot; class=&quot;replyto&quot; onclick=&quot;replyto(&#039;3129&#039;,&#039;Tim&#039;); return false;&quot;&gt;Reply&lt;/a&gt;  - &lt;a href=&quot;#&quot; class=&quot;quote&quot; onclick=&quot;quote(&#039;3129&#039;,&#039;Tim&#039;,&#039;Congratulations to the Giants and the Padres!  They have a combined 83% chance of winning the division.\r\n\r\nI never know what to think of articles like this.  half the time I just think they\&#039;re bait. No professional writer should have such a complete lack of a grasp on basic math.&#039;); return false;&quot;&gt;Quote&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Congratulations to the Giants and the Padres!  They have a combined 83% chance of winning the division.</p>
<p>I never know what to think of articles like this.  half the time I just think they&#8217;re bait. No professional writer should have such a complete lack of a grasp on basic math.
<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('3129','Tim'); return false;">Reply</a>  &#8211; <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('3129','Tim','Congratulations to the Giants and the Padres!  They have a combined 83% chance of winning the division.\r\n\r\nI never know what to think of articles like this.  half the time I just think they\'re bait. No professional writer should have such a complete lack of a grasp on basic math.'); return false;">Quote</a></div>
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		<title>By: Brian J.</title>
		<link>http://seamheads.com/2008/08/01/laying-odds-part-2-national-league/comment-page-1/#comment-3107</link>
		<dc:creator>Brian J.</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Aug 2008 21:21:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://seamheads.com/blog/2008/08/01/laying-odds-part-2-national-league/#comment-3107</guid>
		<description>Phillies 8-1? Mets 4-1? After Santana, who on the Mets is a consistent starter historically?  And what about that corner outfield deficiency they failed to address?  Or their sketchy bullpen?

Or the fact they still haven&#039;t overcome that collapse in September?

I think to make the Phillies double the odds of the Mets might be a little off.&lt;div class=&quot;comment-remix-meta&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;#&quot; class=&quot;replyto&quot; onclick=&quot;replyto(&#039;3107&#039;,&#039;Brian J.&#039;); return false;&quot;&gt;Reply&lt;/a&gt;  - &lt;a href=&quot;#&quot; class=&quot;quote&quot; onclick=&quot;quote(&#039;3107&#039;,&#039;Brian J.&#039;,&#039;Phillies 8-1? Mets 4-1? After Santana, who on the Mets is a consistent starter historically?  And what about that corner outfield deficiency they failed to address?  Or their sketchy bullpen?\r\n\r\nOr the fact they still haven\&#039;t overcome that collapse in September?\r\n\r\nI think to make the Phillies double the odds of the Mets might be a little off.&#039;); return false;&quot;&gt;Quote&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Phillies 8-1? Mets 4-1? After Santana, who on the Mets is a consistent starter historically?  And what about that corner outfield deficiency they failed to address?  Or their sketchy bullpen?</p>
<p>Or the fact they still haven&#8217;t overcome that collapse in September?</p>
<p>I think to make the Phillies double the odds of the Mets might be a little off.
<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('3107','Brian J.'); return false;">Reply</a>  &#8211; <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('3107','Brian J.','Phillies 8-1? Mets 4-1? After Santana, who on the Mets is a consistent starter historically?  And what about that corner outfield deficiency they failed to address?  Or their sketchy bullpen?\r\n\r\nOr the fact they still haven\'t overcome that collapse in September?\r\n\r\nI think to make the Phillies double the odds of the Mets might be a little off.'); return false;">Quote</a></div>
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