Comments on: How the Home Team Wins http://seamheads.com/2008/10/24/how-the-home-team-wins/ Wed, 23 May 2012 12:30:59 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.2 By: KJOK http://seamheads.com/2008/10/24/how-the-home-team-wins/comment-page-1/#comment-6041 KJOK Sat, 28 Feb 2009 04:06:46 +0000 http://seamheads.com/blog/2008/10/24/how-the-home-team-wins/#comment-6041 KDS:

Thanks. This may not have been clear, but when I said “ratios between the home team and the away team (100 = Home and Away rates identical)” what I meant was a 110 factor means the home data was 10% greater than the road data, NOT 10% greater than the average of the two.

Then you mentioned:

“Play for the tie at home and the win on the road,” would seem to indicate that home teams would be more likely to use one run strategies, such as sac hits and stolen bases.

True, and the data seems to somewhat support that.

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]]> By: kds http://seamheads.com/2008/10/24/how-the-home-team-wins/comment-page-1/#comment-6022 kds Sat, 28 Feb 2009 01:08:55 +0000 http://seamheads.com/blog/2008/10/24/how-the-home-team-wins/#comment-6022 Good work. A question on interpreting your numbers. When you say that Home (or Road), is 110 for one of the factors you measured, isn't 100 the average rate, so that the other side (Road or Home), would be 90 or so? In this case the side with the 110 would be 10% better than average, but about 22% better than the other side. "Play for the tie at home and the win on the road," would seem to indicate that home teams would be more likely to use one run strategies, such as sac hits and stolen bases.<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('6022','kds'); return false;">Reply</a> - <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('6022','kds','Good work.\r\n\r\nA question on interpreting your numbers. When you say that Home (or Road), is 110 for one of the factors you measured, isn\'t 100 the average rate, so that the other side (Road or Home), would be 90 or so? In this case the side with the 110 would be 10% better than average, but about 22% better than the other side.\r\n\r\n\"Play for the tie at home and the win on the road,\" would seem to indicate that home teams would be more likely to use one run strategies, such as sac hits and stolen bases.'); return false;">Quote</a></div> Good work.

A question on interpreting your numbers. When you say that Home (or Road), is 110 for one of the factors you measured, isn’t 100 the average rate, so that the other side (Road or Home), would be 90 or so? In this case the side with the 110 would be 10% better than average, but about 22% better than the other side.

“Play for the tie at home and the win on the road,” would seem to indicate that home teams would be more likely to use one run strategies, such as sac hits and stolen bases.

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]]> By: A 10th man? « hardball times http://seamheads.com/2008/10/24/how-the-home-team-wins/comment-page-1/#comment-4573 A 10th man? « hardball times Tue, 16 Dec 2008 19:41:31 +0000 http://seamheads.com/blog/2008/10/24/how-the-home-team-wins/#comment-4573 [...] Tom Meager looks at home field advantage by component, as does KJOK. [...]<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('4573','A 10th man? « hardball times'); return false;">Reply</a> - <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('4573','A 10th man? « hardball times','[...] Tom Meager looks at home field advantage by component, as does KJOK. [...]'); return false;">Quote</a></div> [...] Tom Meager looks at home field advantage by component, as does KJOK. [...]
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]]> By: Evan http://seamheads.com/2008/10/24/how-the-home-team-wins/comment-page-1/#comment-3986 Evan Wed, 29 Oct 2008 02:36:42 +0000 http://seamheads.com/blog/2008/10/24/how-the-home-team-wins/#comment-3986 Very nice work. I also look forward to the follow-up. As far as sacrifice bunts, I think the difference in sac bunts may be a result of managers following the mantra of "play for the lead on the road, play for the tie at home". This might be more apparent if the percentage of sac bunts in so many opportunities changes inning by inning.<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('3986','Evan'); return false;">Reply</a> - <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('3986','Evan','Very nice work. I also look forward to the follow-up. \r\n\r\nAs far as sacrifice bunts, I think the difference in sac bunts may be a result of managers following the mantra of \"play for the lead on the road, play for the tie at home\". This might be more apparent if the percentage of sac bunts in so many opportunities changes inning by inning.'); return false;">Quote</a></div> Very nice work. I also look forward to the follow-up.

As far as sacrifice bunts, I think the difference in sac bunts may be a result of managers following the mantra of “play for the lead on the road, play for the tie at home”. This might be more apparent if the percentage of sac bunts in so many opportunities changes inning by inning.

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]]> By: Xeifrank http://seamheads.com/2008/10/24/how-the-home-team-wins/comment-page-1/#comment-3943 Xeifrank Sat, 25 Oct 2008 18:37:25 +0000 http://seamheads.com/blog/2008/10/24/how-the-home-team-wins/#comment-3943 Thanks KJOK, I will bookmark your site and wait for your follow up. I am sure many others will too. vr, Xei<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('3943','Xeifrank'); return false;">Reply</a> - <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('3943','Xeifrank','Thanks KJOK, I will bookmark your site and wait for your follow up. I am sure many others will too.\r\nvr, Xei'); return false;">Quote</a></div> Thanks KJOK, I will bookmark your site and wait for your follow up. I am sure many others will too.
vr, Xei
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]]> By: KJOK http://seamheads.com/2008/10/24/how-the-home-team-wins/comment-page-1/#comment-3941 KJOK Sat, 25 Oct 2008 06:53:56 +0000 http://seamheads.com/blog/2008/10/24/how-the-home-team-wins/#comment-3941 Xeifrank - Yes, I can easily pull HR's out of the AVG calculation. I will do that in the follow-up article. THANKS.<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('3941','KJOK'); return false;">Reply</a> - <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('3941','KJOK','Xeifrank - Yes, I can easily pull HR\'s out of the AVG calculation. I will do that in the follow-up article. THANKS.'); return false;">Quote</a></div> Xeifrank – Yes, I can easily pull HR’s out of the AVG calculation. I will do that in the follow-up article. THANKS.
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]]> By: Ryan J. Parker http://seamheads.com/2008/10/24/how-the-home-team-wins/comment-page-1/#comment-3938 Ryan J. Parker Fri, 24 Oct 2008 20:26:15 +0000 http://seamheads.com/blog/2008/10/24/how-the-home-team-wins/#comment-3938 This is exactly the sort of thing I'm looking at for basketball. I too want to know HOW (FG%, turnover rates, rebounding, etc). Thanks for giving me a few more things to chew on. :)<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('3938','Ryan J. Parker'); return false;">Reply</a> - <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('3938','Ryan J. Parker','This is exactly the sort of thing I\'m looking at for basketball. I too want to know HOW (FG%, turnover rates, rebounding, etc).\r\n\r\nThanks for giving me a few more things to chew on. :)'); return false;">Quote</a></div> This is exactly the sort of thing I’m looking at for basketball. I too want to know HOW (FG%, turnover rates, rebounding, etc).

Thanks for giving me a few more things to chew on. :)

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]]> By: Xeifrank http://seamheads.com/2008/10/24/how-the-home-team-wins/comment-page-1/#comment-3937 Xeifrank Fri, 24 Oct 2008 19:57:39 +0000 http://seamheads.com/blog/2008/10/24/how-the-home-team-wins/#comment-3937 Nice work! Is it possible to get the component of BABIP listed? Thanks. vr, Xei<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('3937','Xeifrank'); return false;">Reply</a> - <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('3937','Xeifrank','Nice work! Is it possible to get the component of BABIP listed? Thanks.\r\nvr, Xei'); return false;">Quote</a></div> Nice work! Is it possible to get the component of BABIP listed? Thanks.
vr, Xei
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]]> By: Rally http://seamheads.com/2008/10/24/how-the-home-team-wins/comment-page-1/#comment-3936 Rally Fri, 24 Oct 2008 18:34:21 +0000 http://seamheads.com/blog/2008/10/24/how-the-home-team-wins/#comment-3936 Cool study. As to the strikeouts/walks, it could be the batters being more familiar with the hitting background, but it could also be the home team pitchers being more familiar with the mound. Or probably both of those, in some combination. I don't want to dismiss umpiring, but I doubt it. To the umpire, every game is a road game.<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('3936','Rally'); return false;">Reply</a> - <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('3936','Rally','Cool study. As to the strikeouts\/walks, it could be the batters being more familiar with the hitting background, but it could also be the home team pitchers being more familiar with the mound.\r\n\r\nOr probably both of those, in some combination. I don\'t want to dismiss umpiring, but I doubt it. To the umpire, every game is a road game.'); return false;">Quote</a></div> Cool study. As to the strikeouts/walks, it could be the batters being more familiar with the hitting background, but it could also be the home team pitchers being more familiar with the mound.

Or probably both of those, in some combination. I don’t want to dismiss umpiring, but I doubt it. To the umpire, every game is a road game.

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]]> By: Justin Murphy http://seamheads.com/2008/10/24/how-the-home-team-wins/comment-page-1/#comment-3935 Justin Murphy Fri, 24 Oct 2008 16:37:09 +0000 http://seamheads.com/blog/2008/10/24/how-the-home-team-wins/#comment-3935 That's great! A good way to prod it further would be if you looked at teams the year after they moved into a new stadium to see if the triples effect was lessened, since they didn't know the walls as well yet.<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('3935','Justin Murphy'); return false;">Reply</a> - <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('3935','Justin Murphy','That\'s great! A good way to prod it further would be if you looked at teams the year after they moved into a new stadium to see if the triples effect was lessened, since they didn\'t know the walls as well yet.'); return false;">Quote</a></div> That’s great! A good way to prod it further would be if you looked at teams the year after they moved into a new stadium to see if the triples effect was lessened, since they didn’t know the walls as well yet.
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