May 23, 2017

The Most Egregious MVP Snubs of All Time (at Least on Paper)

July 6, 2011 by · 9 Comments 

Not long ago I was watching an episode of “Prime 9” on the MLB Network about the nine biggest MVP snubs of all time. Before the show even began, I knew what would be ranked number one because it’s always mentioned as the biggest injustice in the history of MVP voting: Yankees second baseman Joe […]

Spahn-Marichal Marathon: Best-Pitched Game?

July 2, 2011 by · 3 Comments 

Long before pitch counts, five-man rotations, and an array of relief pitchers became the backbone of baseball philosophy, two future Hall of Famers locked horns in a 16-inning marathon that both completed. According to author Jim Kaplan, who chronicled that July 2, 1963 match in a book called The Greatest Game Ever Pitched, it will […]

All Phillies…All the Time — What’s on Second?

June 18, 2011 by · Leave a Comment 

Having previously answered the burning question, “who’s on first?” the time has come to address, “what’s on second?” The answer, unlike that given by Bud Abbott, is simple… an all-time Hall of Famer and the current best second baseman in baseball. Oh sure, there are others worth mentioning; Tony Taylor (backwards, Ynot Rolyat), Juan Samuel, […]

All Phillies…All the Time — Who’s on First?

June 14, 2011 by · Leave a Comment 

The Phillies have had several outstanding first basemen over the years… it’s just that very few of them, for various reasons, bothered to hang around for very long. Most notable among this group are Jim Thome (three years), Dolph Camilli (four years), Dick Allen (three years at first), Von Hayes (ditto, three years primarily at […]

All Phillies…All the Time — The Catchers

June 10, 2011 by · 1 Comment 

Herewith is the first installment of the All-Time Greatest Phillies Team. Before undertaking this endeavor, some ground rules… This is one version of the “Greatest Phillies of All Time.” The key word is “great,” and it will be used in the larger meaning of the word, that is, beyond pure statistics. This is sort of […]

COMMUNITY PLAYING TIME FORECASTS

March 25, 2011 by · Leave a Comment 

Tom M. Tango at the The Book Blog is requesting fans to fill out playing time estimates for the team they follow closely.   In the past, these fan generated playing time forecasts have proven to be better than the ‘expert’ forecasts and better than ‘automated’ forecast systems. If you want to participate, the link is: […]

Deviating from the Past

March 25, 2011 by · 1 Comment 

Every baseball ranking—even those based on statistics—is biased in some way. It’s what makes practically every list debatable. For instance, take a list as fundamental as “hit leaders.” As a counting stat, a player’s hit total is impacted by his place in the batting order as well as his lineup’s offensive strength, two factors that […]

FEATURES OF THE BALLPARKS DATABASE

March 22, 2011 by · 5 Comments 

Besides the basic field dimensions and batting event factors, there are some other features of the ballparks database that I’d like to highlight: Starting with the index page, you’ll see that the default order is number of games played in the stadium.   Fenway Park and Wrigley Field are at the top.   This can be an […]

Ballparks Database Updated!

March 15, 2011 by · 4 Comments 

Last month we rolled out the online version of the Seamheads Ballparks database, which contained descriptive information about every park ever used as a major league stadium, plus calculations of the impact on batting components for LH and RH batters beginning in 1950. Today we’ve released an update to the original data.   The latest detailed […]

Measuring a Pitcher’s Ace Factor

March 13, 2011 by · 6 Comments 

Below is a statistical collection of the seasonal performances of every starting pitcher between 1950 and 2010. Each pitcher’s season, represented by a blue diamond, was measured by a calculation that didn’t consider any of the usual suspects typically used in measuring a pitcher’s effectiveness, such as ERA, strikeouts, WHIP, shutouts, or even ground ball percentages, contact […]

Umpires: How Do They Impact Total Line Betting in Baseball?

March 7, 2011 by · 4 Comments 

Introduction I recently read an article about NBA referees and their ability to impact the over/under in total line betting. If more fouls are called, teams shoot additional free throws and play less than optimal defense. MLB umpires may also have the ability to impact the over/under in total line betting. If they call more […]

Born in August? Welcome to the Majors

February 25, 2011 by · 3 Comments 

Fun fact: since 1965, players born on July 31 have spent a combined 30 years in the Major Leagues. Fast forward 24 hours to August 1, where players born that day have spent a combined 71 years in the majors. How could 24 hours make such a difference? It has been argued for some time […]

Is Josh Beckett tipping his pitches to the Yankees?

February 21, 2011 by · 2 Comments 

Another View from the Lone Red Seat It looks like the Yankees have figured out Josh Beckett, so much so that he’s tipping his pitches to them.  Over the last two seasons Josh Beckett’s ERA versus the Yankees is a lofty 7.45.  He has pitched into or beyond the 7th inning only twice and has […]

Seamheads.com Boasts Most Comprehensive Ballparks Database on the Internet

February 16, 2011 by · 4 Comments 

We at Seamheads.com are proud to announce the launch of the new Seamheads.com Ballparks Database, created by Seamheads.com co-founder Kevin Johnson and designed for the Internet by Dan Hirsch, fellow Seamhead and founder of TheBaseballGauge.com. This database has been a long time coming and something Kevin and I have wanted to implement since the earliest […]

The Catch-22 Of Baseball

December 30, 2010 by · 3 Comments 

For a non-baseball fan, it seems ridiculous that a bunch of men holding a wooden stick can make millions of dollars for hitting a piece of leather stuffed with yarn. For a baseball fan, on the other hand, it’s all relative. If Alex Rodriguez makes $32 million, that’s fine; but how does that affect, say, […]

Murphy’s Law: 2 MVP Trophies, 4 Silver Slugger Awards, 5 Gold Gloves, and 7 All-Star Games May Not Get You Into the Hall of Fame

December 27, 2010 by · 5 Comments 

Introduction The purpose of this study is to compare Dale Murphy to other Hall of Fame position players from the same era (1976-1993). His .265 batting average, 2,111 hits, and 398 home runs seem to be on par with other Hall of Fame hitters. This study will identify how many Hall of Famers performed below […]

The Favorite Toy and…Bob Feller

December 21, 2010 by · 1 Comment 

In the wake of Bob Feller’s death on Wednesday, many a tribute has been paid to the man they called “Rapid Robert,” including one by our very own Arne Christensen, who wrote “Bob Feller in His Own Words,” in which the Hall of Fame hurler states, “A lot of folks say that had I not […]

Phils to Have Best Rotation of the Live Ball Era?

December 15, 2010 by · 1 Comment 

On my way in to work last evening, one of the talking heads on local sports talk radio insisted the 2011 Philadelphia Phillies have the best rotation he’s ever seen, and this before they’ve even thrown a pitch as a unit. Bringing Cliff Lee back to a threesome that includes two-time Cy Young Award winner […]

The 1928 Negro Leagues – The Two Leagues

December 12, 2010 by · 2 Comments 

The Negro National League (1920-1931).   Also known as the Western League. The Eastern Colored League (1924-1928).   Also known as the Eastern League. The Product How they played the game: (Negro Leagues Data from National Baseball Hall of Fame) In the 1920’s, the two Negro Leagues had both Batting Averages and Slugging Averages slightly lower than […]

The Favorite Toy and…Tony Conigliaro

December 11, 2010 by · Leave a Comment 

Since I went with all-time greats, Babe Ruth and Grover Cleveland Alexander, in my first two articles in this series, I figured I’d shift gears and go with a should-have-been great in Red Sox slugger Tony Conigliaro whose potentially brilliant career was derailed on August 18, 1967 when he was struck in the face by […]

The Favorite Toy and…Grover Cleveland Alexander

December 9, 2010 by · Leave a Comment 

Those of you who read my last Favorite Toy article about Babe Ruth probably noticed that the second installment was supposed to be about Ted Williams. Well, after giving it some thought I realized that I wanted to go deeper with Williams than most of the others I have in mind, mostly because of the […]

Who Were the Most Productive Offensive Players in 2010?

December 7, 2010 by · Leave a Comment 

Numerous methods have been devised to measure offensive performance. The most common are batting average, on-base percentage and slugging average. Since none of these averages provides a complete picture by itself, a more comprehensive measure of offensive performance is useful. Such a measure would include the following elements: 1. The ability to get on base. […]

The Favorite Toy and…Babe Ruth

November 30, 2010 by · 3 Comments 

With the 2011 season still a few months away, I thought it was too early to bust out The Favorite Toy to determine what milestones we might see next year, so I thought I’d go retro and look at some of the game’s greats, not-so-greats and what-might-have-beens to see what odds The Favorite Toy gave […]

Goodbye to the Win

November 20, 2010 by · 1 Comment 

An important and long overdue message was sent to the baseball world the other day when Felix Hernandez, a 13-game winner, was announced as the winner of the 2010 Cy Young award over CC Sabathia, a 21 game-winner. The message was unequivocal. 21 of the 28 voters believed the 24-year old should win the award, […]

Doubles, Two-Baggers, Halfway Home

November 15, 2010 by · 2 Comments 

Earl Webb: Doubles anomaly withstands history

Triples: The Forgotten Base

November 9, 2010 by · 3 Comments 

The art of the triple sculpted by the master, John “Chief” Wilson in 1912.

Triple Milestones – 2010

November 6, 2010 by · Leave a Comment 

Offensive production in the major leagues in 2010 was down significantly from 2009. The number of runs per game has declined each year from 9.72 in 2006 to 8.77 in 2010. The home run rate of 1.90 per game was down from the 2.02 rate in 2009. The major league batting average, on-base percentage and […]

Bill James’ World Series Predictor Goes With…

October 26, 2010 by · 2 Comments 

More than 25 years ago, Bill James introduced a prediction system that picked the World Series winner with 70% accuracy. He wrote about the system for Inside Sports magazine in 1982, then expounded on it in his 1984 Baseball Abstract. He developed the system in 1972 and it accurately predicted the World Series winner at […]

The 2010 Pennant Winners (How They Came to Be)

October 26, 2010 by · 1 Comment 

Using Bill James’s Win Shares, I’ll take a look at how each World Series team was formed. The information can be found at my site The Baseball Gauge. This page compares all of the 2010 teams. The percentages refer to the team’s percentage of Win Shares that came from each category with their rank in […]

The Late, Great Triple

October 12, 2010 by · 1 Comment 

Former Los Angeles Dodgers Executive Fresco Thompson is credited with saying that Willie Mays’ glove was where “triples go to die.”  Variations of the same quote have been attributed to other sources, talking about other players including Joe Jackson and Tris Speaker.  Mays hasn’t played since 1973.  Speaker last played in 1928 and Jackson’s last […]

Sorry Albert, It’s Votto’s Time

October 11, 2010 by · Leave a Comment 

Ranking the 2010 NL MVP Candidates [Author’s note: Irony can be pretty ironic, I suppose. It’s not the first time that an MVP favorite tanked in the post-season, but Joey Votto did just that, going 1-for-10 against the Phillies as his Cincinnati Reds went three and out. It’s worthy to mention that the ballots from […]

Breaking Down The MVP Candidates

October 2, 2010 by · Leave a Comment 

While the Cy Young debate in the American League is getting a lot of attention, the Most Valuable Player award is not. Although it is discussed occasionally, people are not giving it the attention that it deserves. The front-runner(s) at this point are Robinson Cano, Miguel Cabrera, and Josh Hamilton. All have had incredible seasons, but […]

Shouldn’t 1987 Raise Eyebrows Too?

October 1, 2010 by · Leave a Comment 

There has been an increased raising of eyebrows when looking at or comparing statistics of players in the “steroid era,” which began in the early 1990s. Look no further than Mark McGwire to see how these allegations have hurt one’s Hall of Fame chances. We’ll get another example of this in the upcoming election as […]

Yankees Should Avoid Using Burnett in the Postseason

September 28, 2010 by · Leave a Comment 

Since 1920, 391 Yankees pitchers have had a seasonal ERA of at least 5.30. Of all those pitchers, no pitcher has been allowed to pitch as many innings as A.J. Burnett. Why? Because Burnett is on a five-year deal, and he is making $16.5 million this season. Essentially, he is here to stay and the […]

2010 Season Presents Puzzling Mathematical Results

September 27, 2010 by · 1 Comment 

If you can understand correlations, you can begin to understand something essential to success in baseball. Why? Because correlations show how one variable affects another variable. For example, we can see how strikeouts influence runs scored, and we would find that there is no notable correlation (actually true). The dictionary describes a correlation as a […]

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