Today is a day of love. \u00c2\u00a0That love that keeps you going, that warms you through the winter and sustains you in the summer. \u00c2\u00a0The love that is always there, continuing to grow and evolve. \u00c2\u00a0You have to have it, can’t live without it.<\/p>\n
Yes, my friends, today is Pitchers And Catchers Report Day. \u00c2\u00a0I keep looking at Hallmark for the cards, but they must be buried under all these ones with hearts and cherubs. \u00c2\u00a0Don’t know what those are for, but it’s not baseball.<\/p>\n
However, not everything is flowers and candy today. \u00c2\u00a0Last night it leaked out that\u00c2\u00a0Albert Pujols had rejected the contract offer of the Cardinals<\/a>. \u00c2\u00a0For me, this would have been much bigger news if it wasn’t for the fact that, apparently, this rejection happened two weeks ago. \u00c2\u00a0Now, the Cards were saying that they hadn’t extended an offer at that time, but I think that’s semantics. \u00c2\u00a0They probably verbally proposed something and AP’s side shot it down. \u00c2\u00a0So it wasn’t a formal written offer, meaning both sides could be correct.<\/p>\n Bill and I talked about this last night on our new show,\u00c2\u00a0Gateway To Baseball Heaven<\/a>. \u00c2\u00a0As noted, this would be bigger news if it were more recent. \u00c2\u00a0Obviously they’ve not agreed to anything, otherwise we’d be a lot happier and talking about a lot of other things. \u00c2\u00a0There is still time to get something done before Wednesday, even if that’s looking less and less likely.<\/p>\n What I’m having problems with is the idea that the Cards don’t want to go past 7 years. \u00c2\u00a0Look, I get that the Cards are afraid of overpaying a past-his-prime Pujols, I really do. \u00c2\u00a0Still,\u00c2\u00a0beyond the historical chances<\/a> that you could be throwing away, the fact is we just don’t know where baseball is going to be in a few years. \u00c2\u00a0Let’s say that you bell-curve the Pujols contract so that the end of it tapers off and he’s getting $22-$25 million in those years. \u00c2\u00a0Do we really know what a $20 million player would look like a decade from now?<\/p>\n For example, here are the\u00c2\u00a0top 10 salaries of 2001<\/a> vs. the\u00c2\u00a0top 10 salaries of 2010<\/a>. \u00c2\u00a0What got you the 10th “best” player in 2001 (at least in relation to salaries) wouldn’t crack the top 25 in 2010. \u00c2\u00a0The market continues to grow, continues to evolve. \u00c2\u00a0You can’t say “he won’t be worth this” in 10 years. \u00c2\u00a0He may not, probably won’t. \u00c2\u00a0However, if you use the 2011 model and apply it to 2021, you may say he’ll be overpaid by 50% instead of him being actually overpaid by more like 20% because the market has grown.<\/p>\n I’m not sure I’m explaining that very well. \u00c2\u00a0What I’m trying to say is that, for example, 3 WAR production today might be X, so if you assume AP will have that in his last year, he would be five times overpaid. \u00c2\u00a0But when we get to 2021, 3 WAR might be worth 2X, so he’d only be 2.5 times overpaid. \u00c2\u00a0He’s going to be overpaid, no matter, but the magnitude is less. \u00c2\u00a0Again, that doesn’t factor in the bonuses of him going for any records in Cardinal red or becoming the next great Cardinal for life icon.<\/p>\n Tony LaRussa\u00c2\u00a0met with the press in Jupiter<\/a> this weekend, part of his effort this year to be more media friendly. \u00c2\u00a0(We’ll see how that holds up after a blown lead in the ninth.) \u00c2\u00a0He is of the opinion that this is only as much of a distraction as the players want it to be. \u00c2\u00a0Now, I don’t think it’ll distract Pujols at all. \u00c2\u00a0You read from Joe Posnanski’s intro to the new Pujols bio (more on that Wednesday) and you can see that his focus during the season is extreme. \u00c2\u00a0That said, I think the players are going to get tired of the questions in every new city. \u00c2\u00a0They may try to ignore them or redirect them, but that’s still an effort.<\/p>\n It will be interesting to compare and contrast how this controversy is handled versus how the Mark McGwire one was handled last year. \u00c2\u00a0I honestly believe that the impromptu discussion with the press that McGwire had on day one, where he was honest and stuck around until all questions were answered, went a long way in his hiring being a non-factor last year. \u00c2\u00a0There weren’t nearly the steroid stories throughout the year that we expected to see. \u00c2\u00a0If Albert stands up, saying this is the only time I’m going to talk about it, but does talk about it, that may help a lot.<\/p>\n As I noted above, though, today is the day for pitchers and catchers to be in camp. \u00c2\u00a0Of course, a lot of them have been there for a week or so and you can see some great pictures and video up over at\u00c2\u00a0Derrick Goold’s blog<\/a> and Facebook page and be sure to check out\u00c2\u00a0Matthew Leach’s blog<\/a> as well for news out of Jupiter.<\/p>\n