{"id":1275,"date":"2009-06-13T13:05:22","date_gmt":"2009-06-13T20:05:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/seamheads.com\/blog\/2009\/06\/13\/could-ichiro-suzuki-break-the-all-time-hit-record\/"},"modified":"2009-06-29T06:18:25","modified_gmt":"2009-06-29T13:18:25","slug":"could-ichiro-suzuki-break-the-all-time-hit-record","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seamheads.com\/blog\/2009\/06\/13\/could-ichiro-suzuki-break-the-all-time-hit-record\/","title":{"rendered":"Could Ichiro Suzuki Break the All-Time Hit Record?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The title of this posting is meant to be provocative. Obviously Ichiro won&#8217;t break Pete Rose&#8217;s all-time MLB hits record of 4,256, given that he played his first nine seasons in Japan before coming the USA. But what if you combine his MLB and Japan statistics? I want to review Ichiro&#8217;s career numbers and consider what his combined lifetime numbers, particularly his hits total, might end up looking like.<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p>Ichiro Suzuki (see his stats <a href=\"http:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/s\/suzukic01.shtml\">here<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/mlb\/players\/playerpage\/211807\">here<\/a>) joined the Mariners in 2001 and as a 27-yr-old rookie took home AL Rookie of the Year and MVP honors leading the league with a .350 average, 242 hits, and 56 stolen bases. He led the league in average again in 2004, hitting at a .372 rate. He has stolen 30+ bases every MLB season so far. Remarkably, Ichiro has led the AL in singles every year since joining the league, and so far is leading it again this year. He&#8217;s been an All-Star every year, and has taken home Gold Glove defensive honors every year too. He has paced the AL in hits a total of five times, collecting 200+ hits in all of his first eight seasons playing in the majors.<\/p>\n<p>This means his totals so far in MLB are:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>1,888 Hits<\/li>\n<li>911 Runs<\/li>\n<li>78 HRs<\/li>\n<li>324 SBs<\/li>\n<li>.332 Batting Average<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>If he retired today, would his MLB accomplishments alone warrant election to the Hall of Fame? In my view, the answer is yes. However, the MLB HOF has a 10-year minimum playing requirement rule, so unless they made an exception for Ichiro given his Japanese playing time, I fear he couldn&#8217;t yet be elected. Short of a catastrophic injury, since he is still going strong &#8212; .356 average and 9 SB so far this year &#8212; he should have more than enough playing time remaining to warrant election.<\/p>\n<p>But of course before joining the Mariners in 2001 Ichiro had been a star in Japan. After two partial seasons in 1992-93, He hit .385 with 53 stolen bases in 1994. He displayed more power in Japan, smacking 118 HR in\u00c2\u00a03619 at-bats compared to\u00c2\u00a0only 78 HR in 5693 at-bats in the majors. His high was 25 HR in 1995. His batting average (.353) was also, not surprisingly, a bit higher in Japan as well. Here are his career numbers from 1992-2000 in Japan:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>1278 Hits<\/li>\n<li>658 Runs<\/li>\n<li>118 HR<\/li>\n<li>199\u00c2\u00a0SBs<\/li>\n<li>.353 Batting average<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Before I continue, I want to grant the obvious: adding together statistics from MLB and Japan is not really legitimate, because just about everyone would admit the talent level, overall, is greater in the majors. Nonetheless, as a fun exercise, consider these combined career numbers:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>2,284 Games<\/li>\n<li>9,312 At-Bats<\/li>\n<li>1,484 Runs<\/li>\n<li>3,166 Hits<\/li>\n<li>196\u00c2\u00a0HRs<\/li>\n<li>1,015 RBIs<\/li>\n<li>776\u00c2\u00a0Walks<\/li>\n<li>879 Strikeouts<\/li>\n<li>523 SBs<\/li>\n<li>.340 Batting Average<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>As many already know, this\u00c2\u00a0means that the combined Ichiro has eclipsed the career 3,000 hit mark already &#8212; last summer sometime.<\/p>\n<p>Now, let&#8217;s do some conservative estimations. Let&#8217;s say he ends up this year with 210 hits, that would put him at 3,293 for his combined career. He turns 36 on October 22nd. So I&#8217;ll assume he has four more solid years, averaging 200 hits each season. Then let&#8217;s add on just\u00c2\u00a0two more after that, at ages 40 and 41, where he&#8217;ll get another 100 hits\u00c2\u00a0in each.\u00c2\u00a0That would add another 1000 hits in all, and he&#8217;d then have 4,293 &#8212; which means he will have passed Pete Rose&#8217;s mark of 4,256!<\/p>\n<p>Again, I&#8217;m not really suggesting we could then legitimately consider Ichiro the all-time hits leader &#8212; since 1,278 of them came while playing in the Japanese league. But surely we would then have to consider carefully where we&#8217;d want to rate Ichiro amongst all-time hitters, and I think we&#8217;d have to consider him (if not already) amongst the top five singles or batting-average hitters (non-power) of all-time.<\/p>\n<p>Keep it up Ichiro!<\/p>\n<p>P.S. Per the comment I received from Gilbert Martinez, I&#8217;ve updated this post with what I now assume to be the correct numbers for Ichiro&#8217;s time in Japan, <a href=\"http:\/\/japanesebaseball.com\/players\/player.jsp?PlayerID=28\">obtained from this website<\/a>. I had been using the numbers from this <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/mlb\/players\/playerpage\/211807\">Sportsline page<\/a>, but they oddly have double entries included for his 1992 and 1993 seasons, something I noticed at the time I wrote this post but forgot to look into further before finishing my article. Sorry for any confusion!<\/p>\n<p>\u00c2\u00a0P.P.S. As further noted in the comments received, when I made the change noted above I forgot to update my math at the end. I&#8217;ve now re-written the last part of this article to take this into account.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The title of this posting is meant to be provocative. Obviously Ichiro won&#8217;t break Pete Rose&#8217;s all-time MLB hits record of 4,256, given that he played his first nine seasons in Japan before coming the USA. But what if you combine his MLB and Japan statistics? I want to review Ichiro&#8217;s career numbers and consider [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":96,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1275","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-general"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 5.0.5 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The title of this posting is meant to be provocative. Obviously Ichiro won&#039;t break Pete Rose&#039;s all-time MLB hits record of 4,256, given that he played his first nine seasons in Japan before coming the USA. But what if you combine his MLB and Japan statistics? 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