{"id":29598,"date":"2015-05-24T12:37:20","date_gmt":"2015-05-24T16:37:20","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seamheads.com\/?p=29598"},"modified":"2015-05-24T12:37:20","modified_gmt":"2015-05-24T16:37:20","slug":"hardball-retrospective-1904-season-replay","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seamheads.com\/blog\/2015\/05\/24\/hardball-retrospective-1904-season-replay\/","title":{"rendered":"Hardball Retrospective \u2013 1904 Season Replay"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2><\/h2>\n<p>In \u201cHardball Retrospective: Evaluating Scouting and Development Outcomes for the Modern-Era Franchises\u201d, I placed every ballplayer in the modern era (from 1901-present) on their original team. Therefore, Jack Chesbro is listed on the Pirates roster for the duration of his career while the Beaneaters claim Kid Nichols and the Superbas declare Fielder Jones. I calculated revised standings for every season based entirely on the performance of each team\u2019s \u201coriginal\u201d players. I discuss every team\u2019s \u201coriginal\u201d players and seasons at length along with organizational performance with respect to the Amateur Draft (or First-Year Player Draft), amateur free agent signings and other methods of player acquisition.\u00a0 Season standings, WAR and Win Shares totals for the \u201coriginal\u201d teams are compared against the \u201cactual\u201d team results to assess each franchise\u2019s scouting, development and general management skills.<\/p>\n<p>Using a modified version of the Lahman Database (with the ballplayers linked to their original franchises), I imported the players into <a href=\"http:\/\/digitaldiamondbaseball.com\/index.php\">Digital Diamond Baseball<\/a> and conducted a full-season replay with the as-played 1904 schedule.<\/p>\n<p>Several housekeeping items:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>American League schedule was omitted from the 1904 season replay due to a lack of ballplayers on each team.<\/li>\n<li>Players on defunct teams such as Joe McGinnity (Baltimore-NL), Cy Young (Cleveland Spiders), Rube Waddell and Honus Wagner (Louisville Colonels) are excluded because their original team\u2019s league ceased to exist by 1901.<\/li>\n<li>I attempted to emulate player usage in the DDBB replay to real-life usage whenever possible.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>This series of articles will reveal the results for each season replay and compare the outcomes to the OPW%, OWAR and OWS standings from Hardball Retrospective. <strong>\u201cHardball Retrospective\u201d<\/strong> is available in digital format on <a href=\"http:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Hardball-Retrospective-Evaluating-Development-Modern-Era-ebook\/dp\/B00RO4FC26\">Amazon<\/a>, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.barnesandnoble.com\/w\/hardball-retrospective-derek-bain\/1121112489?ean=2940149864263\">Barnes and Noble<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/play.google.com\/store\/books\/details\/Derek_Bain_Hardball_Retrospective?id=Z2RyBgAAQBAJ\">GooglePlay<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/itunes.apple.com\/us\/book\/hardball-retrospective\/id965784888?mt=11&amp;uo=4\">iTunes<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/store.kobobooks.com\/en-US\/ebook\/hardball-retrospective\">KoboBooks<\/a>. The paperback edition is available on <a href=\"http:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Hardball-Retrospective-Evaluating-Development-Modern-Era\/dp\/150879099X\/\">Amazon<\/a>, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.barnesandnoble.com\/w\/hardball-retrospective-derek-bain\/1121112489?ean=9781508790990\">Barnes and Noble<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.createspace.com\/5361036\">CreateSpace.<\/a> Additional information and a discussion forum are offered at <a href=\"www.tuatarasoftware.com\">TuataraSoftware.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Don Daglow (Intellivision World Series Major League Baseball, Earl Weaver Baseball, Tony LaRussa Baseball) contributed the foreword for Hardball Retrospective. The foreword and preview of my book are accessible\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.barnesandnoble.com\/sample\/read\/2940149864263\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h1>Terminology<\/h1>\n<p><strong>OWAR <\/strong>\u2013 Wins Above Replacement for players on \u201coriginal\u201d teams<\/p>\n<p><strong>OWS<\/strong> \u2013 Win Shares for players on \u201coriginal\u201d teams<\/p>\n<p><strong>OPW%<\/strong> &#8211; Pythagorean Won-Loss record for the \u201coriginal\u201d teams<\/p>\n<h1>1904 National League \u2013 Replay Results<\/h1>\n<p>The Cubs held a comfortable lead for the majority of the season until the Giants reeled off 14 victories in 15 games during a mid-September stretch. The clubs entered the final week of the campaign tied for first place but New York handed the pennant to Chicago by losing 9 of 10 contests to close out the campaign. Jack Taylor (24-13, 2.94) and Fred Glade (21-12, 2.73) paced the Cubbies\u2019 rotation. Giants\u2019 ace Christy Mathewson led the Senior Circuit with 28 victories. First-sacker Harry Davis topped the leader boards with 13 home runs and 111 RBI. \u201cWee\u201d Willie Keeler supplied a .314 BA with 104 aces and a league-best 220 safeties.<\/p>\n<p>Cincinnati limped home with a 1-9 finish but held onto third place by a half-game margin over Pittsburgh. Patsy Dougherty rapped 198 base knocks and Jimmy Barrett registered 102 tallies. Jesse \u201cPowder\u201d Tannehill (21-18, 2.90) and Noodles Hahn (18-12, 3.30) presided over the Reds\u2019 mound corps. The Pirates\u2019 ace righty \u201cHappy\u201d Jack Chesbro assumed a heavy workload, twirling a league-high 443 innings with a 2.99 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP. Jake \u201cEagle Eye\u201d Beckley placed runner-up in batting average (.341) and OBP (.392) while finishing third in slugging (.429). Ginger Beaumont sparked the Bucs\u2019 offense with a .314 BA and 47 stolen bases; he recorded 199 hits and topped the National League with 106 runs.<\/p>\n<p>Harry \u201cJudge\u201d Lumley slashed 21 triples and led the Superbas with 89 ribbies. Harry Howell compiled 24 victories while fashioning an ERA of 3.08 and a 1.16 WHIP. Nap Lajoie (.359\/7\/81) collected his second batting title and topped the League in OBP (.396), SLG (.565) and doubles (53). Elmer Flick pilfered 48 bags to edge Beaumont for the stolen base title. Doc White paced the Phillies\u2019 hurlers with a 2.89 ERA (5<sup>th<\/sup> in the NL). Mordecai \u201cThree-Finger\u201d Brown (19-11, 2.50) furnished a 1.05 WHIP and claimed the ERA title. Homer Smoot plated 100 baserunners and drilled 31 two-base hits. Jimmy Collins cracked 35 doubles and Charlie \u201cPiano Legs\u201d Hickman knocked 21 triples for the cellar-dwelling Beaneaters.<\/p>\n<h4>1904 National League \u2013 Hardball Retro Replay \u2013 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.tuatarasoftware.com\/HardballRetro_Replay\/1904\/1904-LeagueStandings.html\">Final Standings<\/a><\/h4>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"197\">1904 NL <a href=\"http:\/\/www.tuatarasoftware.com\/HardballRetro_Replay\/1904\/1904-NL-BattingLeaders.html\">Batting Leaders<\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"197\">1904 NL <a href=\"http:\/\/www.tuatarasoftware.com\/HardballRetro_Replay\/1904\/1904-NL-PitchingLeaders.html\">Pitching Leaders<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"197\"><strong>Team Batting<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"197\"><strong>Team Pitching<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"197\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.tuatarasoftware.com\/HardballRetro_Replay\/1904\/1904-ATL-TeamBatting.html\">1904 Boston Beaneaters<\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"197\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.tuatarasoftware.com\/HardballRetro_Replay\/1904\/1904-ATL-TeamPitching.html\">1904 Boston Beaneaters<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"197\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.tuatarasoftware.com\/HardballRetro_Replay\/1904\/1904-LAD-TeamBatting.html\">1904 Brooklyn Superbas<\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"197\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.tuatarasoftware.com\/HardballRetro_Replay\/1904\/1904-LAD-TeamPitching.html\">1904 Brooklyn Superbas<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"197\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.tuatarasoftware.com\/HardballRetro_Replay\/1904\/1904-CHC-TeamBatting.html\">1904 Chicago Cubs<\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"197\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.tuatarasoftware.com\/HardballRetro_Replay\/1904\/1904-CHC-TeamPitching.html\">1904 Chicago Cubs<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"197\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.tuatarasoftware.com\/HardballRetro_Replay\/1904\/1904-CIN-TeamBatting.html\">1904 Cincinnati Reds<\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"197\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.tuatarasoftware.com\/HardballRetro_Replay\/1904\/1904-CIN-TeamPitching.html\">1904 Cincinnati Reds<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"197\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.tuatarasoftware.com\/HardballRetro_Replay\/1904\/1904-SFG-TeamBatting.html\">1904 New York Giants<\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"197\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.tuatarasoftware.com\/HardballRetro_Replay\/1904\/1904-SFG-TeamPitching.html\">1904 New York Giants<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"197\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.tuatarasoftware.com\/HardballRetro_Replay\/1904\/1904-PHI-TeamBatting.html\">1904 Philadelphia Phillies<\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"197\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.tuatarasoftware.com\/HardballRetro_Replay\/1904\/1904-PHI-TeamPitching.html\">1904 Philadelphia Phillies<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"197\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.tuatarasoftware.com\/HardballRetro_Replay\/1904\/1904-PIT-TeamBatting.html\">1904 Pittsburgh Pirates<\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"197\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.tuatarasoftware.com\/HardballRetro_Replay\/1904\/1904-PIT-TeamPitching.html\">1904 Pittsburgh Pirates<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"197\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.tuatarasoftware.com\/HardballRetro_Replay\/1904\/1904-STL-TeamBatting.html\">1904 St. Louis Cardinals<\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"197\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.tuatarasoftware.com\/HardballRetro_Replay\/1904\/1904-STL-TeamPitching.html\">1904 St. Louis Cardinals<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h1>Replay Results vs. Hardball Retrospective Findings<\/h1>\n<p>The Giants (95-59) coasted to the franchise\u2019s second of four consecutive titles by a comfortable margin (11 games) over the Reds. The Cubs finished third with a mark of 81-73, fourteen games behind. New York dominated the circuit with regards to OWAR (68.5) and OWS (349).<\/p>\n<h1>On Deck<\/h1>\n<p>1905 Season Replay<\/p>\n<h1>References and Resources<\/h1>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.baseballamerica.com\/execdb\/\">Baseball America \u2013 Executive Database<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/\">Baseball-Reference<\/a><\/p>\n<p>James, Bill, with Jim Henzler. Win Shares. Morton Grove, Ill.: STATS, 2002. Print.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.retrosheet.org\/transactions\/index.html\">Retrosheet \u2013 Transactions Database<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/seamheads.com\/baseballgauge\/index.php\">Seamheads \u2013 Baseball Gauge<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.seanlahman.com\/baseball-archive\/statistics\/\">Sean Lahman Baseball Archive<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In \u201cHardball Retrospective: Evaluating Scouting and Development Outcomes for the Modern-Era Franchises\u201d, I placed every ballplayer in the modern era (from 1901-present) on their original team. Therefore, Jack Chesbro is listed on the Pirates roster for the duration of his career while the Beaneaters claim Kid Nichols and the Superbas declare Fielder Jones. I calculated [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":879,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29598","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-general"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"In \u201cHardball Retrospective: Evaluating Scouting and Development Outcomes for the Modern-Era Franchises\u201d, I placed every ballplayer in the modern era (from 1901-present) on their original team. Therefore, Jack Chesbro is listed on the Pirates roster for the duration of his career while the Beaneaters claim Kid Nichols and the Superbas declare Fielder Jones. 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