{"id":32420,"date":"2018-08-09T10:59:16","date_gmt":"2018-08-09T14:59:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/seamheads.com\/blog\/?p=32420"},"modified":"2018-08-12T15:38:29","modified_gmt":"2018-08-12T19:38:29","slug":"32420","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seamheads.com\/blog\/2018\/08\/09\/32420\/","title":{"rendered":"Projecting the 2018 MLB MVP and Cy Young Award Winners"},"content":{"rendered":"<div dir=\"ltr\">\n<p>Each Major League Baseball team still has over 40 games left to play in the regular season, as the playoff race is starting to truly take shape. Even though a lot can happen during that roughly quarter of the season, let\u2019s take a look at my picks (at this point in the season) for some of the major end of the season awards.<\/p>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">\n<p><strong>American League MVP- <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/b\/bettsmo01.shtml\">Mookie Betts<\/a>, Boston Red Sox:<\/strong> With apologies to the amazing <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/t\/troutmi01.shtml\">Mike Trout<\/a>, the forever king of WAR, this award should go to the best player on the best team. If the difference in play between Betts and Trout was wider, this wouldn\u2019t be my pick, but the Sox outfielder has nearly matched his Angels counterpart, hitting a league-leading .340 with 26 home runs, 58 RBI and 22 stolen bases. He has also scored 93 runs in 95 games and is possibly the best defensive right fielder in the game.<\/p>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">\n<p>Betts\u2019 bWAR currently stands at 7.1, which is a notch behind Trout\u2019s 7.8. However, he has appeared in 14 fewer games and his team is on pace for 114 wins while the Angels currently languish in fourth place in the American League West with a .500 record. Barring anything drastically changing, Betts seems like a safe bet to get some new hardware for his mantel this autumn.<\/p>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">\n<p><strong>National League MVP- <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/b\/baezja01.shtml\">Javy Baez<\/a>, Chicago Cubs:<\/strong> Things get a little tougher to pick when moving over to the Senior Circuit. While a number of players have legitimate cases, nobody is running away with it. My pick is Baez, the engine of the Chicago Cubs, which is the best team in the league. The 25-year-old is a transcendent defender who has played all over the infield this year, hitting .298 with 25 home runs, a league-leading 88 RBIs and 19 stolen bases.<\/p>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/c\/cainlo01.shtml\">Lorenzo Cain<\/a> of the Milwaukee Brewers (5.3) and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/c\/carpema01.shtml\">Matt Carpenter<\/a> of the St. Louis Cardinals (5.2) both have a higher WAR than Baez (4.9), but those numbers don\u2019t tell the whole story. A significant portion of Cain\u2019s value has come from excellent defense, meanwhile Carpenter\u2019s season has been buoyed by red-hot surge that came after he was hitting .140 as late as May 15th. \u00a0Baez is perhaps the most exciting player to watch in baseball, and appears to be taking the leap to superstar status while possibly earning his first MVP.<\/p>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">\n<p><strong>American League Cy Young- <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/s\/salech01.shtml\">Chris Sale<\/a>, Boston Red Sox:<\/strong> Assuming he is not significantly hampered by a recent <a href=\"https:\/\/nesn.com\/2018\/08\/chris-sale-injury-red-sox-reveal-return-date-for-star-pitcher\/\">minor injury<\/a> that has shelved him for a short period, this award should be Sale\u2019s to lose. He is 11-4 in 22 starts and leads the American League with a 2.04 ERA, 207 strikeouts, a 216 ERA+ and 2.07 FIP. His primary competition are two guys in Cleveland\u2014right handers <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/k\/klubeco01.shtml\">Corey Kluber<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/b\/bauertr01.shtml\">Trevor Bauer<\/a>; and two guys in Houston\u2014right handers <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/v\/verlaju01.shtml\">Justin Verlander<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/c\/colege01.shtml\">Gerrit Cole<\/a>. All four have been terrific this year and pitch for likely division winners, but they have been a notch below Sale.<\/p>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">\n<p>Perhaps the biggest obstacle for Sale will be himself and avoiding a second half fade that has plagued him during his career. The slender lefty has lit it up in the first half of seasons to the tune of a combined 69-26 record and 2.66 ERA. However, he has found the going tougher in second halves as evidenced by his 33-36 mark and 3.21 ERA.<\/p>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">\n<p><strong>National League Cy Young- <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/s\/scherma01.shtml\">Max Scherzer<\/a>, Washington Nationals:<\/strong> Before getting into Scherzer, a special shout out to New York Mets starter <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/d\/degroja01.shtml\">Jacob deGrom<\/a>, who has a league-leading 1.77 ERA and 2.20 FIP. However, his team is so putrid, he will struggle to get to 10 wins (he currently has six). Despite his utter dominance, New York is just 9-14 in games he has started. He has been great, but with Scherzer being at a similar level, the tie has to be broken for the pitcher performing at for a team still playing meaningful games (barely in Washington\u2019s case).<\/p>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">\n<p>Scherzer is 15-5 with a 2.28 ERA in 24 starts, leading the league in wins, innings pitched (161.2) and strikeouts (216). For good measure he also leads in WHIP (0.897). If he wins the Cy Young would be his third in a row and fourth of his career, cementing his eventual enshrinement in the National Baseball Hall of Fame. His one likely opponent is young Philadelphia Phillies right-hander <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/n\/nolaaa01.shtml\">Aaron Nola<\/a>, who is having a great season, but would have to have a 1988 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/h\/hershor01.shtml\">Orel Hershiser<\/a>-type run to end this season in order to have any realistic chance to take down Scherzer at this point.<\/p>\n<p><strong>A<\/strong><strong>ndrew Martin is the founder of\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/baseballhistorian.blogspot.com\/\">\u201cThe Baseball Historian\u201d<\/a>\u00a0blog where he posts his thoughts about baseball on a regular basis. You can also reach him on Twitter at\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/historianandrew\">@historianandrew<\/a>\u00a0or on\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Andrew-H-Martins-The-Baseball-Historian\/138174109591660\">Facebook<\/a>.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Each Major League Baseball team still has over 40 games left to play in the regular season, as the playoff race is starting to truly take shape. Even though a lot can happen during that roughly quarter of the season, let\u2019s take a look at my picks (at this point in the season) for some [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":798,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-32420","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-general"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/seamheads.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32420","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/seamheads.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/seamheads.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/seamheads.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/798"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/seamheads.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=32420"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/seamheads.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32420\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/seamheads.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=32420"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/seamheads.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=32420"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/seamheads.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=32420"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}