{"id":3870,"date":"2010-04-01T15:51:49","date_gmt":"2010-04-01T22:51:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.seamheads.com\/?p=3870"},"modified":"2010-04-01T15:51:49","modified_gmt":"2010-04-01T22:51:49","slug":"2010-al-central-preview","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seamheads.com\/blog\/2010\/04\/01\/2010-al-central-preview\/","title":{"rendered":"2010 AL Central Preview"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>By Justin Murphy and Brad Berreman<\/p>\n<p>In 2009, the Central division of the American League was decided in  163 games for the second straight season.  This time, the Minnesota  Twins, who had lost to the Chicago White Sox in the same situation in  2008, beat the Detroit Tigers to win the division.<\/p>\n<p>2010 brings about changes in the division.   Many teams made notable  player acquisitions and one team, the Cleveland Indians, have a new  manager in Manny Acta.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the Seamheads AL Central preview, with the teams listed as we  project them in this year\u00e2\u20ac\u2122s standings.<img decoding=\"async\" title=\"More...\" src=\"http:\/\/www.seamheads.com\/blog\/wp-includes\/js\/tinymce\/plugins\/wordpress\/img\/trans.gif\" alt=\"\" \/><strong> Minnesota  Twins<\/strong><br \/>\n2009 Result: 87-76, 1st Place<br \/>\n<strong> <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Notable Acquisitions<\/strong>: SS J.J. Hardy, DH Jim Thome, 2B Orlando  Hudson, RP Clay Condrey, OF Jacques Jones<br \/>\n<strong> <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Notable Departures<\/strong>: SS Orlando Cabrera, 3B Joe Crede, OF  Carlos Gomez, P Boof Bonser, C\u00c2\u00a0Mike Redmond<\/p>\n<p><strong> Pitching and Defense<\/strong>: Last season, the Twins were second in  the A.L. in K\/BB, but still ended up with a below-average 4.50 staff  ERA, thanks in large part to 185 dingers against. The rotation will be  largely the same this season, with Scott Baker, Kevin Slowey, Nick  Blackburn and Carl Pavano in the top four spots. Francisco Liriano is  trying to build on impressive winter league numbers to grab the fifth  rotation spot; as usual, he\u00e2\u20ac\u2122s a huge X-factor for the team.<\/p>\n<p>There is also the matter of filling the gaping hole created by Joe  Nathan\u00e2\u20ac\u2122s season-ending elbow injury. Jon Rauch, Matt Guerrier and Jesse  Crain will rotate in that spot until someone catches Gardenhire&#8217;s fancy.  Pat Neshek\u00e2\u20ac\u2122s return from his own trip to Tommy John-land should be a  boon, and the spillover from the battle for the fifth rotation spot  should equate to a solid middle-innings corps.<\/p>\n<p>The outfield defense took a hit with the departure of Gomez. Not only  does Denard Span have a lot of ground to cover in center, but neither  Michael Cuddyer nor Delmon Young are good defenders. The infield got a  serious upgrade in second baseman Orlando Hudson, and the hodgepodge of  options for the third base job and\/or utility spot (Nick Punto, Alexi  Casilla, Brendan Harris, Matt Tolbert, Luke Hughes, Danny Valencia) will  give Ron Gardenhire the flexibility to find a good combination.<br \/>\n<strong> <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Offense<\/strong>: In broad strokes, the Twins will be fine at the plate  if lefty sluggers Joe Mauer, Justin Morneau and Jason Kubel repeat  their 2009 lines. Span is one of the premier lead-off men in the game,  and Hudson figures to slide into the two-hole. If Young cuts down on the  strikeouts and hits 15-20 home runs, and if Hardy rediscovers his  pre-2009 form, the offense could move from good to great. Thome is a  fearsome presence off the bench, and it will be interesting to see how  long of a leash the Twins give to Young before benching him, putting  Kubel into the outfield and making Thome the everyday DH.<br \/>\n<strong> <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Player to Watch:<\/strong> Starting pitcher Nick Blackburn earned a  reputation as a big-game pitcher in the last two seasons, and was  rewarded for it with a four-year, $18 million extension this spring. For  all that, though, he\u00e2\u20ac\u2122s 22-24 in his career and has struck out only 4.4  batters a game while letting balls out of the park at a troubling rate.  If he keeps finding ways to get through lineups without the strikeout,  he\u00e2\u20ac\u2122ll provide some needed stability in the rotation. If not, the Twins  will have to scramble to fill those innings.<br \/>\n<strong> <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>2010 Outlook:<\/strong> The Twins will move into their new stadium,  Target Field, this season and will have high expectations. The payroll  increased by almost a third and all the pieces are in place. Some  relatively big-ticket off-season acquisitions give this Twins team the  most potential they\u00e2\u20ac\u2122ve had in years.<\/p>\n<p>Though the team did a good job papering over Nathan\u00e2\u20ac\u2122s injury by  announcing Mauer\u00e2\u20ac\u2122s extension on the same day, there\u00e2\u20ac\u2122s no question the  back of the bullpen is a serious concern. No one will fill Nathan\u00e2\u20ac\u2122s  shoes, but the offense, starters and middle-inning men are expected to  pick up some slack in the first eight innings.<\/p>\n<p><strong> Predicted Order of Finish<\/strong>: Winning the Central has become  almost a given in Minnesota, but this group won\u00e2\u20ac\u2122t be satisfied without a  deeper run into the playoffs.<\/p>\n<p><strong> Detroit Tigers<br \/>\n<\/strong> 2009 Result: 86-77, 2nd Place<\/p>\n<p><strong>Notable Acquisitions: RP Jose Valverde, OF\/DH Johnny Damon,  SP Max Scherzer, RP Daniel Schlereth, OF Austin Jackson, RP Phil Coke<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong> Notable Departures<\/strong>: OF Curtis Granderson, 2B Placido Polanco,  SP Edwin Jackson, RP Fernando Rodney, RP Brandon Lyon, OF\/DH Marcus  Thames, 1B\/DH Aubrey Huff, SP Jarrod Washburn<\/p>\n<p><strong> Pitching and Defense<\/strong>: The trio of Scherzer, Justin Verlander  and Rick Porcello at the top of the rotation is an exciting notion in  Motown in 2010 and in the years to come. Porcello, the opening-day  starter, took his lumps in his rookie season but still managed 14  victories as a 20-year-old. Of course, a young rotation also helps  explain why the Tigers were 12th in the A.L. in walks surrendered last  year.<\/p>\n<p>Like the Twins, the Tigers have some competition for the final spots  in the rotation, and that will shore up the bullpen, especially now that  Bobby Seay may miss significant time with an injury. Picking up closer  Valverde will also help in the bullpen, which was only the 12th-best in  the A.L. last season in WHIP.<\/p>\n<p>Losing Granderson from center field is a real blow, but the Tigers  think Jackson can fill his shoes, and they had better be right, because  Damon and Magglio Ordonez won\u00e2\u20ac\u2122t be offering much help in the corners.  Sizemore, on the other hand, will have a hard row to hoe in replacing  Polanco\u00e2\u20ac\u2122s 11.4 UZR at second base, especially coming off ankle surgery.  Brandon Inge is above-average at third, although he too went under the  knife in the off-season.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Offense<\/strong>: Last year\u00e2\u20ac\u2122s Tigers were slightly below average at the  plate, and Ordonez, Guillen and Inge aren\u00e2\u20ac\u2122t getting any younger. Miguel  Cabrera will again be asked to provide the lion\u00e2\u20ac\u2122s share of the pop, and  the Tigers hope that Damon and Jackson will be on base when he does.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Player to Watch<\/strong>: Gerald Laird is a fine defensive catcher, but  manager Jim Leyland has asked him to work on his performance with the  stick. He hit .225 last season; if he can add even thirty percentage  points to that, it would buoy an aging offense.<br \/>\n<strong> <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>2010 Outlook:<\/strong> The Tigers got younger and more exciting in the  off-season, but that doesn\u00e2\u20ac\u2122t necessarily equate to more wins in 2010.  General manager Dave Dombrowski has acknowledged that he\u00e2\u20ac\u2122s building for  2010 and beyond, with an emphasis on the beyond.<br \/>\nStill, don\u00e2\u20ac\u2122t write the Tigers off yet. They rode veteran leadership to a  one-game playoff last year, and though those veterans are getting  longer in the tooth, Porcello et al. got meaningful experience. If the  graybeards have another year left in them and the young guns develop  according to plan, Detroit could make things interesting in the Central.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Predicted Order of Finish<\/strong>: They probably don\u00e2\u20ac\u2122t have the pop to  compete with Minnesota, but it\u00e2\u20ac\u2122s not safe to write them off.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Chicago White Sox<\/strong><br \/>\n2009 Result: 79-83, 3rd Place<\/p>\n<p><strong> Notable Acquisitions<\/strong>: IF\/OF Mark Teahen, OF Juan Pierre,  OF\/DH Andruw Jones, RP J.J. Putz, SS Omar Vizquel<br \/>\n<strong> <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Notable Departures<\/strong>: OF Jermaine Dye, 2B Chris Getz, 3B Josh  Fields, OF Scott Podsednik, RP Octavio Dotel, OF Dewayne Wise<br \/>\n<strong> <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Pitching\/Defense<\/strong>: With Jake Peavy ready to pitch a full  season, the Sox have a legitimate ace and a fair number two in Mark  Buehrle. John Danks and Gavin Floyd have both progressed steadily over  the last two seasons. This staff allowed the second fewest runs in the  American League last year and could be better in 2010, unless Buehrle  shows his age. The bullpen is anchored by Bobby Jenks, and has a nice  mix of youth and experience, especially if and when 23-year-old Daniel  Hudson moves up from Charlotte.<\/p>\n<p>The Sox have a nifty double play combo in Alexei Ramirez and Gordon  Beckham, with old hand Omar Vizquel ready to spell them. The outfield is  a different story. Alex Rios is, to put it charitably, not a center  fielder, and Carlos Quentin doesn\u00e2\u20ac\u2122t figure to pick up much of the slack  in right. AJ Pierzynski caught just 23 percent of would-be base  stealers.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Offense<\/strong>: Despite the departures of veteran boppers Dye and Jim  Thome, the lineup on the South Side is still rather hoary. Jones, the  new DH, hit .214 last season and will be 33 in 2010. Teahen has been  abominable in spring training, and Pierzynski and Paul Konerko are not  their 2005 selves. The only real bright spots offensively are Quentin,  who missed over a third of last season with a foot injury, and Beckham.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Player to Watch<\/strong>: Since his full-season debut in 2001, Buehrle  has thrown at least 200 innings every year for the White Sox, but he\u00e2\u20ac\u2122s  turning 31 in 2010. Another strong campaign from him could make the  rotation an elite one, something the Sox will need to stay afloat with  sub-standard defense and aging hitters.<\/p>\n<p><strong>2010 Outlook<\/strong>: The pitching is good, and could very well be  great, depending on the contributions of Putz, Buehrle and Hudson.  Ramirez and Beckham are likely to produce a fair amount of excitement up  the middle, and skipper Ozzie Guillen will trot out his  ever-entertaining antics. You\u00e2\u20ac\u2122d swear a bilingual blue streak, too, if  you had Alex Rios in center field.<\/p>\n<p>If the White Sox have a master plan, it\u00e2\u20ac\u2122s not plain to see. After  winning 79 games in 2009, they added a few veterans to the mix but  generally kept a core intact. Quentin and Beckham are fine players, and  Ramirez is still coming into his own, but the roster is largely  populated by men with no business on a winning club. The team seems to  be treading water, and as such will likely find itself a comfortable  middle-of-the-pack spot in the division.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Predicted Order of Finish<\/strong>: Barring renaissance seasons from  Konerko and company, the White Sox seem directionless and shouldn\u00e2\u20ac\u2122t  threaten the top teams in the division.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Kansas City Royals<br \/>\n<\/strong> 2009 Result: 65-97, Tied for 4th Place<\/p>\n<p><strong>Notable Acquisitions<\/strong>: OF Rick Ankiel, OF Scott Podsednik, 2B  Chris Getz, 3B Josh Fields, C Jason Kendall<\/p>\n<p><strong>Notable Departures<\/strong>: IF\/OF Mark Teahen, C Miguel Olivo, C John  Buck, OF Coco Crisp, 1B\/DH Mike Jacobs<\/p>\n<p><strong>Pitching\/Defense:<\/strong> For all their problems, the Royals do have  the best pitcher in the American League in reigning Cy Young winner Zack  Greinke. Even with his 229 innings, though, they still were third-worst  in the league in runs allowed. Promising rotation-mates Kyle Davies and  Luke Hochevar have thus far thwarted prognosticators, but the talent is  there, if nothing else. Joakim Soria assumes the mantle of best closer  in the division with Nathan\u00e2\u20ac\u2122s injury\u00e2\u20ac\u201dhe was close, anyway\u00e2\u20ac\u201dbut the ugly  setup crew of Kyle Farnsworth, Jamey Wright and Juan Cruz won\u00e2\u20ac\u2122t have an  easy time in getting the ball to him.<\/p>\n<p>Nor will the pitchers have much support behind them; Kansas City  offers one of the worst fielding displays in the majors. Last season,  David DeJesus and Crisp were the only two players with decent UZR  numbers, and Crisp is gone, replaced by Ankiel. Yuniesky Betancourt is  famously horrific with the glove, and Kendall got burglarized at an 80  percent clip last season, when he was only 35 years old.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Offense<\/strong>: The darlings of the Royals offense are youngsters  Billy Butler and Alex Gordon, both of whom have proven they can swat, at  least for stretches. Butler, 23 years old, had a .314\/.385\/.540 line in  the second half after .290\/.340\/.449 before the All-Star break. Gordon  played in only 49 games last season due to hip surgery, and will miss at  least a few games this April after breaking his thumb in early March.  Last year, the Royals were 13th in the A.L. in scoring.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Player to Watch<\/strong>: The most maddening aspect of Jose Guillen\u00e2\u20ac\u2122s  contract\u00e2\u20ac\u201dand there are many such aspects\u00e2\u20ac\u201dis that it keeps Kila Ka\u00e2\u20ac\u2122aihue  mired in Omaha despite abundant proof that he\u00e2\u20ac\u2122s ready to contribute in  the big leagues. His triple-slash numbers were down in 2009, but he  still got on base 39 percent of the time and walked more times (102)  than he struck out (85). In 2008, between Double-A and Triple-A, he  swatted .314\/.456\/.628. Were it not for Guillen, Trey Hillman could  rotate Ka\u00e2\u20ac\u2122aihue and Butler between first base and DH. As it is, he  probably spends another year stewing in Nebraska.<\/p>\n<p><strong>2010 Outlook<\/strong>: Here\u00e2\u20ac\u2122s a fine mess. Grienke leads an otherwise  uneven pitching staff. Soria is one of the best closers in the game, but  isn\u00e2\u20ac\u2122t likely to get many opportunities. The lineup will get a  significant boost if Gordon and Butler reach their potential.<\/p>\n<p>Unlike basement-mate Cleveland, the Royals don\u00e2\u20ac\u2122t have much as far as  prospects in the pipeline, and their off-season acquisitions don\u00e2\u20ac\u2122t point  to the clear rebuilding plan the team so obviously needs. All in all,  signs point to another long summer in K.C.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Projected Order of Finish<\/strong>: If the bats come out and the young  pitchers emerge, the Royals could challenge Chicago for third place. Of  course, that\u00e2\u20ac\u2122s what they always say.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Cleveland Indians<\/strong><br \/>\n2009 Result: 67-95, Tied for 4th Place<\/p>\n<p><strong>Notable Acquisitions<\/strong>: Manager Manny Acta, 1B Russell Branyan,  OF Austin Kearns, C Mike Redmond<\/p>\n<p><strong>Notable Departures<\/strong>: Manager Eric Wedge, C Kelly Shoppach, IF  Jamey Carroll<\/p>\n<p><strong>Pitching\/Defense<\/strong>: Last year, the staff ranked second-to-last  in the A.L. in runs allowed, and that with a half season\u00e2\u20ac\u2122s contribution  from Lee. Now that the ace gone, Fausto Carmona has been crowned the  number one on the merits of his 2007 success; no matter that he walked  five men per nine innings last year on his way to a 6.32 ERA. Jake  Westbrook is returning from Tommy John surgery, and Justin Masterton is  working on a conversion from the bullpen.\u00c2\u00a0Among the relievers, closer  Kerry Wood is out for two months with shoulder soreness. In short, the  pitching will not be good.<\/p>\n<p>The Indians\u00e2\u20ac\u2122 outfield of Matt LaPorta, Grady Sizemore and Shin-Soo  Choo looks impressive enough on paper, but the fact is that none of  those three had a positive UZR in 2009. Asdrubal Cabrera and Luis  Valbuena were among the worst defensive middle infielders in the game  last season.<\/p>\n<p><strong> Offense<\/strong>: LaPorta, Choo and Travis Hafner will be counted on  for most of the power in the lineup, though none of them slugged .500  last season and only Choo hit 20 home runs. Jhonny Peralta is always an  X-factor, but if he starts the season well, the Tribe will likely put  him on the trading block and bide their time until Lonnie Chisenhall is  ready.<\/p>\n<p>Sizemore had his lowest batting average since 2004 last season, due  in large part to elbow problems that have since been corrected. He\u00e2\u20ac\u2122ll  hit in the two-spot this year, with Cabrera and his .361 OBP leading  off.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Player to Watch<\/strong>: The big question in Cleveland is when Michael  Brantley will make his first appearance of the season. Acquired in the  C.C. Sabathia trade, Brantley played well in spring training before  rolling his ankle. The idea in the organization is to have LaPorta in  left, Russell Branyan at first and Brantley in Triple-A to start the  season, but Branyan\u00e2\u20ac\u2122s recurring back pain could throw a wrench into  that. In what the Tribe bills as a rebuilding season, Brantley\u00e2\u20ac\u2122s  development could be the best reason to tune in.<\/p>\n<p><strong>2010 Outlook<\/strong>: 2010 will be GM Mark Shapiro&#8217;s last season in  that post, as he will be promoted to team president after the season and  current assistant GM Chris Antonetti will take Shapiro&#8217;s position as  executive vice president and general manager. There is also a shakeup in  the on-field management, with former Nationals skipper Manny Acta  taking the reins from Eric Wedge.<\/p>\n<p>The pitching is a problem, and Wood\u00e2\u20ac\u2122s absence from the bullpen only  exacerbates it. The idea is to let LaPorta, Brantley and catcher Lou  Marson develop while the team muddles along.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Predicted Order of Finish<\/strong>: The Indians\u00e2\u20ac\u2122 best case scenario is  for Peralta, Westbrook and Wood to play well enough to bring back a  decent haul on the trading block.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Justin Murphy and Brad Berreman In 2009, the Central division of the American League was decided in 163 games for the second straight season. This time, the Minnesota Twins, who had lost to the Chicago White Sox in the same situation in 2008, beat the Detroit Tigers to win the division. 2010 brings about [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":737,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3870","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-general"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 4.9.9 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"By Justin Murphy and Brad Berreman In 2009, the Central division of the American League was decided in 163 games for the second straight season. 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