Park Factors Updated for 2010

Park Factors have been updated as of the end of the Regular Season. Some totals have changed slightly to reflect more accurate Park Factors.

Possibly the biggest changes will be from the Minnesota Twins who are in their first year at Target Field. Because of the smaller sample size, any changes will have a bigger impact

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All-Negro Leagues Team Added

I’ve added an “All-Negro Leagues Team“. This includes major league players who also played in the Negro Leagues.

The players are ranked based on their Major League stats, and not their Negro League stats. So, some players such as Willard Brown, who only had a few AB’s in the Major Leagues, will not rank as high as others. The reason for this is because of the lack of availability of Negro League stats. I’d love to include players such as Willie Wells, Quincy Troupe, and Josh Gibson, but there simply isn’t any comprehensive statistical data available for analysis.

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Statistical Glossary Added

Recently, there have been requests for a statistical glossary to help explain the calculation methods. It can now be found to the right of the top menu bar.

It includes the method for Calculating each of the metrics, as well as the reason for any inconsistencies between the Win Shares totals on the site versus those found in the Win Shares book.

If you have any questions or comments, email me at BaseballGauge@gmail.com

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History’s Biggest All-Star Snubs

Every year around this time, the talk amongst the fans, media, and bloggers centers on All-Star Rosters. No matter who is selected or left off, there are always those who are not going to be happy. Although one thing is for sure, it always makes for a great discussion.

With all this talk about Joey Votto, Omar Infante, Jered Weaver, etc I started thinking, who are the All-Time biggest snubs according to Win Shares Above Bench, and why?

To begin, here are the top 10 players who were never selected to an All-Star Game:

Player
Pos
Years
WS
WSAB
Best
Tim Salmon
RF
1992-2006
232.7
116.4
18.2
Kirk Gibson
LF
1979-1995
223.7
108.7
21.5
Hal Trosky
1B
1933-1946
193.5
94.6
16.3
Tony Phillips
2B
1982-1999
265.5
93.4
12.9
Oscar Gamble
RF
1969-1985
173.2
87.6
14.5
Ellis Kinder
SW
1946-1957
146.5
87.3
18.4
Richie Hebner
3B
1968-1985
219.8
84.2
12.5
Kevin McReynolds
LF
1983-1994
196.3
80.3
16.9
Joe Kuhel
1B
1933-1947
219.2
79.4
14.5
Earl Torgeson
1B
1947-1961
184.3
79.0
19.3

Tim Salmon
For 3 different seasons, Tim Salmon topped all American League Right Fielders, in addition to finishing 3rd in 4 different seasons. He clearly deserved at least one selection. Salmon’s best season came in a strike-shortened 1995. He was tops amongst AL Rightfielders by a large margin. Unfortunately, Puckett, Manny Ramirez, and Paul O’Neill were selected instead. Salmon’s second half OPS+ was 31 points higher than the first, although his first half total was still 153. Salmon was ROTY two seasons prior and his 1994 numbers were down somewhat, although no sophomore slump by any means.

Kirk Gibson
The recently named Diamondbacks manager is best known for his clutch World Series HR’s off of Hall of Fame relievers. Popularity and name recognition is certainly not the reason for Gibson’s All-Star absence. 1984 through 1988 were his peak seasons while he was top 3 at his position in 4 of those years. For his career, Gibson’s OPS+ was 23 points higher in the second half, and slow starts may have affected some possible selections. Some of the players selected over Gibson during those seasons: Winfield, Baines, George Bell, and Reggie Jackson. The biggest snub has to have been his 1988 MVP season, his first year in the Senior Circuit. That year, Vince Coleman was selected as the LF starter, who was below average for the season.

Hal Trosky
Trosky may have been the unluckiest player on this list. He peaked from ’34 to ’40, but if you were an AL First Baseman and your last name wasn’t Gehrig, Foxx, Greenberg or McQuinn(!), then you didn’t have much of a chance. As a 21-year-old in 1934, Trosky finished 9th amongst all players in the AL with 16.3 WSAB. Sure enough, 3 of the 8 players ahead of him were First Basemen. In addition to poor timing, Trosky suffered from debilitating migraine headaches as well as an assortment of other injuries and incidents. He sat out in ’42 and ’43 due to the headaches and also as he waited to be drafted into the service. When he returned in ’44 after being declared unsuitable for the draft, he was past his prime.

Top 20 highest single season Win Shares Above Bench for players not selected to an All-Star Game:

Player
Year
Team
Pos
WSAB
Jim Thome
2002
CLE
1B
27.1
Dick Allen
1964
PHI
3B
26.1
Albert Belle
1998
CHA
LF
25.8
Dave Parker
1978
PIT
RF
24.9
Frank Thomas
1992
CHA
1B
24.6
Adrian Beltre
2004
LAN
3B
24.1
Jim Edmonds
2004
SLN
CF
23.9
John Hiller
1973
DET
RP
23.6
Frank Thomas
1991
CHA
DH
23.2
Jimmy Wynn
1969
HOU
CF
22.8
Ron Santo
1967
CHN
3B
22.8
John Olerud
1998
NYN
1B
22.0
Hank Greenberg
1935
DET
1B
21.8
Shawn Green
2001
LAN
RF
21.7
Wes Ferrell
1935
BOS
SP
21.7
Charlie Keller
1942
NYA
LF
21.6
Dick Ellsworth
1963
CHN
SP
21.6
Kirk Gibson
1988
LAN
LF
21.5
Brian Giles
2002
PIT
LF
21.5
Jose Canseco
1991
OAK
RF
21.4

Jim Thome (2002)
Thome finished the 2002 season with more WSAB than any other player in the AL. His first half included 26 HR’s and 172 OPS+. Like most All-Star Snubs, Thome was a victim of the rule which requires that each team is represented. The 100-loss Royals sent fellow 1B Mike Sweeney. Carlos Beltran was a possibility, but the 106-loss Devil Rays sent CF Randy Winn. In addition to the required selections, a total of five Shortstops made the team. While you can’t really argue the selection of Jason Giambi or Paul Konerko (each had a huge first half), there is really no excuse for Thome’s absence.

Dick Allen (1964)
Just as Thome in 2002, Allen led all NL players in WSAB in ’64. He won the ROTY for a team that gave up a late 6.5 game lead to St. Louis. Allen may have been a rookie, but the players and coaches should have taken notice to his first half, which included 16 HR’s and 165 OPS+ (fans did not vote in 1964). Taking over for Don Hoak in ’64, Allen was playing 3B for the first time. His inexperience at the position led to 41 errors, which was 13 more than any other Third Baseman. Both Ron Santo and Ken Boyer were deserving of selections at the hot corner, but that’s not to say that they deserved it over Allen. One thing is for sure, Smoky Burgess had no business being on the All-Star team in ’64.

Albert Belle (1998)
Dick Allen may not have been a fan favorite during his playing days, but the fans weren’t voting in ’64. Although the fans were voting in ’98, and it is no surprise that Albert Belle, one of the least popular players in his era, was not at the top of their ballots. Belle was one of the elite sluggers in the 90’s, but he was coming off of a down year in 1997 (after signing a $55M contract with Chicago). Belle’s first half numbers were good (18 HR, 120 OPS+), but they were nowhere near his second half numbers (31 HR, 228 OPS+). It can be argued that Belle deserved a selection over some of his former Indian teammates (Lofton, Vizquel, and Sandy Alomar), as the defending AL champs were probably “over-represented.” I’ll say this, if All-Star teams were formed at the end of the season, Belle’s omission would have been much more outrageous.

Finally, the top 10 lowest career Win Shares Above Bench for players with at least one All-Star Selection:

Player
Pos
Years
WS
WSAB
ASG
Ed Brinkman
SS
1961-1975
115.3
-41.5
1
Joe DeMaestri
SS
1951-1961
47.3
-38.9
1
Don Kessinger
SS
1964-1979
155.9
-37.2
6
Alfredo Griffin
SS
1976-1993
131.7
-33.8
1
Larry Bowa
SS
1970-1985
179.6
-29.1
5
Gary DiSarcina
SS
1989-2000
64.6
-25.6
1
Ozzie Guillen
SS
1985-2000
138.7
-20.2
3
Paul Casanova
C
1965-1974
50.8
-19.9
1
Ken Reitz
3B
1972-1982
84.8
-19.9
1
Billy Hunter
SS
1953-1958
28.5
-19.5
1

As you can see, most of this list includes Shortstops during an era in which offensive contribution was not as highly regarded as defense at the position. With that said, some of these picks are inexcusable. Billy Hunter was a rookie in 1953, and was one of four Shortstops for the AL. He was also not the only representative for the St. Louis Browns, as Satchel Paige was also on the roster. Hunter hit just 1 HR and his OPS+ was a brave 37. He did lead all AL Shortstops in Fielding WSAB, but no amount of defense can make up for that offensive production.

I think we can all agree that the All-Star Selection process is not perfect and it always creates excellent debates. And as we all know, any reason to talk about baseball is a good reason.

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All-Star and Non-All-Star Teams Added

I’ve added both All-Star Teams and also a Team for the best players NOT selected as an all-star. This is a good way to see which players were “snubbed” and which ones didn’t deserve a selection.

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All-College Teams (A Rosenblatt Farewell)

I live in Omaha, Nebraska, home of Rosenblatt Stadium and the College World Series. The final CWS game to ever be played at Rosenblatt will be either tonight or tomorrow night (depending on tonight’s outcome). I figured that this would be a perfect opportunity to add College data and All-College Teams to The Baseball Gauge.

Prior to compiling the numbers, it was safe to assume that schools such as Southern Cal, Arizona State, Texas, Florida State, and Stanford would dominate the leaderboards. That was no surprise upon viewing the final totals. What I believe is most interesting are the small schools that have only produced a handful of Major Leaguers in their entire history.

St. Joseph’s College in Renssalaer, Indiana has had a baseball team for 75 years, and has probably fielded hundreds of players in that time. Out of all of those players to wear a Puma uniform, just ONE player has ever become a Major Leaguer, Gil Hodges. No one else has ever made a Major League appearance while Hodges was the best first baseman of the 1950’s. There are a number of instances similar to this, for example…

  • David Justice / Thomas More College
  • Mike Hargrove / NW Oklahoma State University
  • Bill White / Hiram College

The following are two lists which show the top schools of All-Time and the top schools up until 1919. Notice the difference between the two and the number of Ivy League schools in the second list. These days, a big deal is made if a player comes from the Ivy League, while it was commonplace for a “College Boy” to come from the Ivy League in the Dead Ball Era.

The Top 20 Schools of All-Time according to Win Shares:

# School
Mascot
City
State
Players
WS
1 University of Southern California
Trojans
Los Angeles
CA
100
4,491.1
2 Arizona State University
Sun Devils
Tempe
AZ
94
4,420.6
3 University of Michigan
Wolverines
Ann Arbor
MI
77
3,083.3
4 University of California, Los Angeles
Bruins
Los Angeles
CA
67
2,863.7
5 Saint Mary’s College of California
Gaels
Moraga
CA
62
2,844.0
6 University of Texas at Austin
Longhorns
Austin
TX
101
2,709.3
7 University of Notre Dame
Fighting Irish
South Bend
IN
71
2,709.2
8 University of California
Golden Bears
Berkeley
CA
55
2,033.7
9 Louisiana State University
Tigers
Baton Rouge
LA
62
2,028.6
10 Stanford University
Cardinal
Palo Alto
CA
85
1,999.5
11 Mississippi State University
Bulldogs
Starkville
MS
42
1,954.9
12 University of Alabama
Crimson Tide
Tuscaloosa
AL
62
1,928.2
13 University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Fighting Illini
Champaign
IL
69
1,868.9
14 Fordham University
Rams
Bronx
NY
56
1,817.6
15 Oklahoma State University
Cowboys
Stillwater
OK
51
1,817.0
16 San Diego State University
Aztecs
San Diego
CA
37
1,802.3
17 Georgia Institute of Technology
Yellow Jackets
Atlanta
GA
45
1,764.0
18 University of Arizona
Wildcats
Tucson
AZ
67
1,741.2
19 University of Tennessee
Volunteers
Knoxville
TN
39
1,722.8
20 College of the Holy Cross
Crusaders
Worcester
MA
77
1,640.1


The Top 20 Schools during the 19th Century and Deadball Era
(1871-1919)

#
School
Mascot
City
State
Players
WS
1 College of the Holy Cross
Crusaders
Worcester
MA
45
1,093.2
2 University of Pennsylvania
Quakers
Philadelphia
PA
34
527.5
3 University of Notre Dame
Fighting Irish
South Bend
IN
33
1,458.2
4 Brown University
Bears
Providence
RI
31
700.3
5 Saint Mary’s College of California
Gaels
Moraga
CA
26
1,378.9
6 Fordham University
Rams
Bronx
NY
26
919.9
7 Villanova University
Wildcats
Villanova
PA
25
618.6
8 Georgetown University
Hoyas
Washington
DC
24
776.0
9 Manhattan College
Jaspers
Riverdale
NY
19
283.0
10 University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Fighting Illini
Champaign
IL
18
501.0
11 Bucknell University
Bison
Lewisburg
PA
18
927.0
12 Santa Clara University
Broncos
Santa Clara
CA
16
469.3
13 Princeton University
Tigers
Princeton
NJ
15
51.6
14 Tufts University
Jumbos
Medford
MA
13
30.4
15 University of Michigan
Wolverines
Ann Arbor
MI
13
343.4
16 Dartmouth College
Big Green
Hanover
NH
12
110.3
17 Yale University
Bulldogs
New Haven
CT
12
256.3
18 Boston College
Eagles
Chestnut Hill
MA
12
340.0
19 Pennsylvania State University
Nittany Lions
State College
PA
12
749.2
20 University of Maryland
Terrapins
College Park
MD
11
417.1

A special note: This data only includes each player’s stats from their time in the Major Leagues. A few players may have attended a school without playing on the Baseball team but are still included. Raw College data can be found at The Baseball Databank

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Welcome to TheBaseballGauge.com

This site uses 3 differente Metrics, which are used to gauge a player’s productivitiy. No ONE statistic is perfect, nor can it quantify all aspects of the game. These statistics should be used as a starting point in evaluating a player.

First, choose a Metric in the top right hand corner of the page
Your choices are:

  • Wins Above Replacement (WAR)
  • Win Shares (WS)
  • Win Shares Above Bench (WSAB)

As you navigate the site, your Metric of choice will be remembered

There are a number of different sections in the site, which are customizable to your liking. The site includes every single player/manager who has ever played or managed in Major League Baseball (from 1871).

Some of the many things that you can find at The Basball Gauge are:

Also included are Components Above Replacement. All stats are park adjusted, while Pitching statistics are defense independant. These stats are compared to the league, so they are normalized when comparing different eras and run environments. This eliminates the need for minimum Plate Appearance or Innings Pitched qualifications

A good example of how these statistics work is the 1980 American League Batting title. George Brett hit .390 and won the title by 38 points over Cecil Cooper. But Brett only accumulated 449 At Bats while Cooper had 622. Because of this, Cooper ends up with 66.5 Hits Above Replacement to Brett’s 63.9

Finally, there are Adjusted Win-Loss Records. Pitcher’s Win-Loss records are influenced by factors in which the pitcher is not in control, ie Run Support, Fielding, and Bullpens. Adjusted Win-Loss Records estimate a pitcher’s record given that they have league average run support, fielders, and bullpen.

The plan is to continually add features to the site and make any necessary improvements. The next feature to be added to the site…. Graphs.

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