February 11, 2016

Examing the Hall of Fame Vote

January 12, 2016 by · Leave a Comment 

1. Ken Griffey Jr. and Mike Piazza were elected. Griffey received votes from 99.3% of the writers, a new record. 2. Jeff Bagwell and Tim Raines received over 70% of the vote and are well positioned to be elected next year. It will be the 10th and final year for Raines on the ballot.   […]

Triple Milestones 2015

January 8, 2016 by · Leave a Comment 

Offensive production in the major leagues increased slightly in 2015. The number of runs and home runs per game increased in 2015 and batting average, on-base percentage and slugging average also increased in 2015 after steadily declining since 2000. Year Runs/Game HR/Game BAVG OBA Slugging OPS Triple Milestone Hitters 1990 8.51 1.58 .258 .324 .386 […]

Rating the 2016 Hall of Fame Candidates Based on Win Shares

January 3, 2016 by · Leave a Comment 

One of the first items of business in baseball each year is the announcement of players elected to the Hall of Fame.  This leads to lots of speculation and a little analysis prior to the announcement which is scheduled for January 6, 2016. Many systems exist for evaluating player performance.  One such system, the Win […]

Major League Offense Increases in 2015, Ending a Long Decline

December 15, 2015 by · Leave a Comment 

At mid-season, I wrote a report indicating that there were signs that the long decline in offense in the major leagues that began in 2000 was coming to an end.  An update at season’s end indicates that the increase in offense is greater than it was at mid-season. The numbers below illustrate key hitting and […]

Post Season Observations Part III

November 5, 2015 by · Leave a Comment 

Keep the line moving.  The Royals had the uncanny ability in all three series to string together several hits with a mistake by their opponents to score 3-5 runs in an inning without a home run. The Royals hit only 2 home runs (both solos) in their 5 game series win over the Mets. Will […]

Astros Complete a Surprising 2015 Season

October 28, 2015 by · Leave a Comment 

The Houston Astros were expected to make a modest improvement in 2015 over their 70-92 record in 2014.  Did anyone expect them to still be playing on October 14 and to be playing after the St. Louis Cardinals and New York Yankees had been eliminated and sent home?  Would anyone have guessed that they would […]

Playoff Observations, Part II

October 26, 2015 by · Leave a Comment 

All four of the LCS teams have blue as the dominant color. Is Daniel Murphy really this good? Why isn’t Mark Buehrle on Toronto’s playoff roster? Ben Zobrist has had an excellent major league career, none of it with the team that originally drafted and signed him, the Houston Astros. Josh Donaldson has a strong […]

Playoff Observations – 2015

October 17, 2015 by · Leave a Comment 

Only one AL team (Kansas City) that was in the playoffs in 2014 is back in the playoffs in 2015. The first four post-season games played this year were won by the visiting team, three of them by teams from Texas. The two wild card play in games were both won by the second wild […]

Astros Hang On to Wild Card After Faltering in September

October 6, 2015 by · Leave a Comment 

After an absence of nine years, the Houston Astros are back in the post-season playoffs as the second wild card in the American League.  The Astros spent 139 days on top of the AL West division in the first five months of the season but they were unable to carry it through into September where […]

August Astros Report and Personal Note

September 8, 2015 by · Leave a Comment 

Some of you may be wondering why you didn’t receive my monthly report on the Astros for  August.  Nobody did.  On Saturday. August 29, I suffered a fall at home that resulted in a fracture in one of the bones that is part of the hip bone structure.  I was taken to the hospital and […]

Astros Sweep Angels to Regain First Place

August 3, 2015 by · Leave a Comment 

After losing six straight games prior to the All-Star break, the Astros surprising reign of 84 straight days on top of the AL Western Division came to an end.  The offense disappeared during the losing stretch but it reappeared after the break and the team kept pace with the Angels for the next nine days […]

Is the Decline in Major League Baseball Offense Over?

July 11, 2015 by · Leave a Comment 

Offensive production in major league baseball has been steadily declining since it peaked in 2000.  It appears that it may have reached a low point in 2014.  At the midpoint of the 2015 season, offense is showing a slight increase over last year. The numbers below illustrate key hitting and pitching statistics for the peak […]

Seventy Three Days and Counting

July 2, 2015 by · 1 Comment 

On April 19, the Houston Astros defeated the Los Angeles Angels, 4-3 and moved into first place in the American League West Division.  Seventy three days later, they are still there.  At one point in May, they led the division by 7 games and finished the month 5 games ahead.  They encountered some rough spots […]

Astros Still Flying High after Two Months

June 3, 2015 by · Leave a Comment 

At the end of April, the Houston Astros surprisingly led the American League West Division by 4 games with a record of 15-7.  During the month of May, the lead briefly increased to 7 games before settling back to 4 games with a record of 31-20 at the end of May, the most wins of […]

Are the Houston Astros Back?

May 2, 2015 by · Leave a Comment 

The Houston Astros completed the month of April with a 7-game winning streak and a record of 15-7, their best opening month since 1986 when they finished on top in the NL Western Division.  They lead the American League West Division by four games.  The big question now is if it will last.  This is […]

What’s in Store for the Houston Astros in 2015?

April 4, 2015 by · Leave a Comment 

Expectations for the Astros in 2015 are higher than they have been in several years.  In 2014, the Astros broke a 3-year streak of last place finishes with over 100 losses by recording a 19 game improvement, finishing with a record of 70-92.  Not great but a clear step in the right direction, especially since […]

Analyzing the 2015 Hall of Fame Vote

January 17, 2015 by · Leave a Comment 

The Baseball Writers Association of America elected 4 players to the Hall of Fame this year for the first time since 1955, Randy Johnson (97.3%), Pedro Martinez (91.3%), John Smoltz (82.9%) and Craig Biggio (82.7%).  All four easily surpassed the 75% required for election. Of those on the ballot who were not elected, Mike Piazza […]

Rating the 2015 Hall of Fame Candidates Based on Win Shares

January 3, 2015 by · 1 Comment 

One of the first items of business in baseball each year is the announcement of players elected to the Hall of Fame. This leads to lots of speculation and a little analysis prior to the announcement which is scheduled for January 6, 2015. Many systems exist for evaluating player performance. One such system, the Win […]

Who Were the Most Productive Offensive Players in 2014?

December 9, 2014 by · Leave a Comment 

Numerous methods have been devised to measure offensive performance.  The most common are batting average, on-base percentage and slugging average.  Since none of these averages provides a complete picture by itself, a more comprehensive measure of offensive performance is useful.  Such a measure would include the following elements: The ability to get on base. The […]

Triple Milestones–2014

November 22, 2014 by · 2 Comments 

Offensive production in the major leagues continued to decline in 2014. The number of home runs per game decreased in 2014 and batting average, on-base percentage and slugging average dropped to the lowest levels in over 20 years. Year Runs/Game HR/Game BAvg OBA SLG OPS Triple Milestone Hittters 1990 8.51 1.58 .258 .324  .386 .710 […]

2014 World Series Observations

October 30, 2014 by · 1 Comment 

We will probably never see another World Series pitching performance like we saw with Madison Bumgarner this year.   Even If the Royals win the World Series, Bumgarner of the Giants should be the MVP. (written after game 6).   Every great pitcher has an occasional bad game (ask Clayton Kershaw).  I thought Bumgarner was […]

Astros Finish 2014 Season with 70 Wins

October 2, 2014 by · Leave a Comment 

The Houston Astros compiled a record of 70-92 in 2014, an improvement of 19 games over their record in 2013.  Only the Los Angeles Angels with a 20 game improvement did better, and the defending World Series Champion Boston Red Sox won only one more game than the Astros in 2014.  But it could have […]

Is the .300 Hitter a Vanishing Breed?

September 15, 2014 by · 2 Comments 

In the year 2000, 26 players hit for both power and average to reach the Triple Crown milestones of 30 home runs, 100 RBIs and a batting average of .300.  In 2013, only three players reached all three milestones and in mid-season in 2014, three were on target for all three and six more were […]

Astros Fire Manager after Posting Winning Month in August

September 2, 2014 by · 1 Comment 

In the final game in August, the Houston Astros rallied for 2 runs in the bottom of the eighth inning to defeat the Texas Rangers, 3-2 to post a record of 15-14 for the month, matching their previous best month in May.  The next day, Manager Bo Porter was fired by General Manager, Jeff Luhnow, […]

Astro’s Take One Step Forward, Two Steps Back

August 5, 2014 by · Leave a Comment 

While there were a couple of bright spots for the Houston Astros in July, the dismal record of 8-17 is only part of the story.  The Astros had the first pick in the 2014 first-year player draft and they selected Brady Aiken, a highly regarded high school pitcher from California.  However, they were unable to sign him […]

Where Have All the Hitters Gone?

July 6, 2014 by · Leave a Comment 

With major league teams reaching the season’s mid-point by playing their 81st game of the season, it’s a good time to take a look at hitters that are on target for the triple milestones of a .300 batting average, 30 home runs and 100 RBIs and pitchers on target for 20 wins, 200 strikeouts and […]

Astros Remain Competitive in June

July 2, 2014 by · Leave a Comment 

After posting their first winning month in May since September, 2010, the Astros didn’t quite duplicate the feat in June with a 12-15 record.  The strong finish in May carried over to the beginning of June as the team started the month with a record of 7-5, including a streak of winning or splitting 7 […]

Did the Astros Turn the Corner in May?

June 3, 2014 by · Leave a Comment 

Led by George Springer, Jose Altuve, Dallas Keuchel and Chad Qualls, the Houston Astros posted a record of 15-14 in May, their first winning full month since September, 2010.  Included was a 7-game winning streak in which the Astros outscored the opposition 39-12.  The first 6 games in the streak were started by 6 different […]

How Bad Were the Astros in April

May 4, 2014 by · Leave a Comment 

How bad are the Astros?  The numbers tell the story. April BAVG OBP SLG OPS W-L ERA 2011 .267 .311 .386 .707 10-17 5.06 2012 .257 .330 .376 .706 9-14 4.09 2013 .256 .314 .411 .725 7-19 5.55 2014 .210 .252 .358 .639 9-19 4.87 A comparison of the April performance with the last three […]

Astros Should Show Some Improvement in 2014

April 1, 2014 by · Leave a Comment 

At the end of the 2012 season, I put together a rather bold projection for the next three years as the Astros struggled for respectability.  I projected an improvement in 2013 to 60 wins, which did not happen followed by 70 wins in 2014.  With only 51 wins in 2013, winning 70 in 2014 appears […]

Who Were the Most Productive Offensive Players in 2013?

February 5, 2014 by · 1 Comment 

Numerous methods have been devised to measure offensive performance.  The most common are batting average, on-base percentage and slugging average.  Since none of these averages provides a complete picture by itself, a more comprehensive measure of offensive performance is useful.  Such a measure would include the following elements: The ability to get on base. The […]

Analyzing the 2014 Hall of Fame Vote

January 18, 2014 by · 2 Comments 

The Baseball Writers Association of America elected 3 players to the Hall of Fame this year, Greg Maddux (97.2%), Tom Glavine (91.9%) and Frank Thomas (83.7%).  It was the largest class since 1999 when Nolan Ryan, George Brett and Robin Yount were elected.  In addition, a veterans committee earlier elected managers, Bobby Cox, Tony Larussa […]

Rating the 2014 Hall of Fame Candidates Based on Win Shares

January 5, 2014 by · Leave a Comment 

One of the first items of business in baseball each year is the announcement of players elected to the Hall of Fame.  This leads to lots of speculation and a little analysis prior to the announcement which is scheduled for January 8, 2014. Many systems exist for evaluating player performance.  One such system, the Win […]

Triple Milestones 2013

December 11, 2013 by · Leave a Comment 

This is the final examination of players who during the 2013 season achieved the triple milestones of a .300 batting average, 30 home runs and 100 RBIs in 2013.Offensive production in the major leagues was down in 2013.  The number of runs and home runs per game both decreased in 2013 after a slight increase […]

Astros Finish Worst Year in Club History

October 8, 2013 by · 1 Comment 

The Astros finished the season with a 15-game losing streak, capping off the worst year in their 52-year history.  The 51-111 record continues a streak of three straight years with the worst record in the team’s history and also the worst record in the major leagues. Can it get any worse?  Astro fans, or what’s left of […]

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