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Wed, October 24, 2007

Chapter Four: The Position Players in the Hall of Fame

by Michael Hoban

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Title: BASEBALL’S BEST: The TRUE Hall of Famers
Author:
Michael Hoban, Ph.D.
Formats: PDF (ebook) | Paperback
Pages:
223

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Click cover to order book
 
Chapter four
The Position Players in the Hall of Fame

In Chapter 3, I explained that we would be using the NEWS HOF Monitor to try to determine which players who are in the Hall of Fame really have the numbers to be there. The NEWS rankings tell us which position players had the best careers according to the numbers that they put together on the field of play. I have also listed the top 20 position players in the Hall – all of whom obviously have HOF numbers. The #20 top player was Joe DiMaggio who had a NEWS score of 341.

The big question now becomes: Where do we set the bar to determine who does and who does not have HOF numbers? I will examine three different scenarios and see who is included and who is not – a benchmark of 300, 290 and 280.

Hall of Fame Numbers: NEWS = 300

In this first case, we will set the cut-off point for “HOF numbers” to be a NEWS score of 300 or better.

In Chapter 3, I gave the list for the top 20 position players in the Hall of Fame. Here is the list of the next group of HOF players with NEWS scores of 315 or greater. There are eight players in this group.

NEWS (315+)
Player POS CWS CV NEWS
Sam Crawford RF 446 303 339
Carl Yastrzemski LF 488 286 337
Paul Waner RF 423 304 334
Reggie Jackson RF 444 296 333
George Brett 3B 432 296 330
Arky Vaughan SS 356 308 320
Wade Boggs 3B 394 291 317
Willie McCovey 1B 408 285 316

There are four outfielders and four infielders in this group. Arky Vaughan is the second highest ranked shortstop in the Hall. But we still have no catchers at this point.

Here is the list of all the other position players in the Hall of Fame (20th century players) with a NEWS score of 300 or greater. There are thirteen players on this list.

NEWS (300-314)
Player POS CWS CV NEWS
Eddie Murray 1B 437 273 314
Cal Ripken Jr. SS 427 276 314
Robin Yount SS 423 278 314
Al Kaline RF 443 268 312
Johnny Mize 1B 339 296 307
Charlie Gehringer 2B 383 280 306
Paul Molitor DH 414 270 306
Fred Clarke LF 400 273 305
Duke Snider CF 352 289 305
Harmon Killebrew 1B 374 279 303
Billy Williams LF 374 279 303
Luke Appling SS 378 275 301
Yogi Berra C 375 276 301

There are forty-two (42) Hall of Famers with a NEWS score of 300 or better. As we will see later, there are a total of fifty-four (54) players with a score of 300 or better – meaning that there are twelve players with these elite numbers who are not yet in the Hall. Of these twelve, six were still active in 2007: Barry Bonds, Gary Sheffield, Craig Biggio, Alex Rodriguez, Frank Thomas and Ken Griffey, Jr. We will say more about these players in subsequent chapters.

The breakdown by position of these top forty-two (42) Hall of Famers is: six first basemen, five second basemen, four third basemen, five shortstops, one catcher, six center fielders, eight right fielders, six left fielders, and one designated hitter (Paul Molitor played more games as a designated hitter than he did at any one position). As you can see, Yogi Berra is the only catcher with a NEWS score greater than 300.

Most serious fans of the game will probably recognize the majority of the names on these lists without any problem. But a few players who played earlier in the 20th century may not be as familiar to some fans – such as Sam Crawford, Arky Vaughan and Fred Clarke.

So, if we were to set the bar as high as a NEWS score of 300, then only forty-two (42) of the 120 position players in the Hall (35%) would have HOF numbers. Of course, this may be too strict a criterion.

Hall of Fame Numbers: NEWS = 290

What happens if we lower the bar somewhat to include all the players in the Hall who achieved a NEWS score of 290? The following nine Hall of Famers have scores between 290 and 299.

NEWS (290-299)
Player POS CWS CV NEWS
Dave Winfield RF 415 259 298
Johnny Bench C 356 277 297
Roberto Clemente
RF 377 269 296
Ryne Sandberg 2B 346 278 295
Tony Gwynn RF 398 269 294
Zack Wheat LF 380 264 293
George Davis SS 398 255 291
Joe Cronin SS 333 275 290
Willie Stargell LF 370 263 290

As you can see, Johnny Bench becomes the second highest ranked catcher in the Hall.

Zack Wheat and George Davis may not be as well known as the others. But I doubt that many serious fans of the game would question the HOF credentials of the players on this list.

If we set the cut-off for HOF numbers at 290, then we would have fifty-one (51) of the 120 Hall of Famers (43%) with legitimate HOF numbers.

It is of interest to note that there are only five other players (not yet in the Hall) who had career numbers in this interval - of whom one (Manny Ramirez) was still active in 2006. Which means a total of only sixty-eight (68) players in the 20th century have achieved a NEWS career score of 290.

Hall of Fame Numbers: NEWS = 280

Finally, let’s look at what it would mean if we use a NEWS score of 280 to determine HOF numbers. But first, consider the following note that I mentioned earlier.
In his book, WIN SHARES, Bill James notes that, as a rule of thumb, here is how the number of win shares in a season can be interpreted for an individual player:

1. 30-40 Win Shares = MVP-type Season
2.
20-30 Win Shares = All-Star Season
3.
10-20 Win Shares = Solid Regular Player
4. 0-10 Win Shares = Bench Player

Now, if you are a position player who is truly deserving of the HOF, it seems that you should have been able to average at least 25 win shares during your ten best seasons (a CV of 250). That average would put you in the middle of “All Star” status for your ten best seasons – a reasonable requirement for a Hall of Famer. The 280 NEWS criterion is based in part on this 250 CV score – since every Hall of Famer with a NEWS of 280 also has a CV of 250. Of course, there are some Hall of Famers who have a CV of 250 but who do not make the 280 cut-off. In fact, there are only eight Hall of Famers who are in the 280-289 interval.

NEWS (280-289)
Player POS CWS CV NEWS
Rod Carew 2B 384 257 289
Harry Heilmann RF 356 267 289
Goose Goslin LF 355 263 286
Frank Baker 3B 301 280 285
Lou Brock LF 348 264 285
Frankie Frisch 2B 366 256 284
Elmer Flick RF 291 280 283
Gary Carter C 337 263 282

Are we now entering territory where someone might be inclined to question the HOF credentials of one or more of these players? You can be the judge of that. But it is certainly fair to say that players like Harry Heilmann, Goose Goslin, Frank Baker and Elmer Flick are not as well known as many other Hall of Famers.

So, there are fifty-nine (59) Hall of Famers with a NEWS score of 280 or more. This number represents 49% of the 120 20th century position players in the Hall. I would suggest that all of these players certainly have legitimate HOF numbers.

There are eight other players who are not in the Hall who also fall into the 280-289 interval. Of these, Mike Piazza, Chipper Jones and Jim Thome were still active in 2007.

We will use a NEWS score of 280 or better to define Hall of Fame numbers for a position player. At the end of 2007, there were exactly eighty-four (84) position players who have played in the 20th century who have a NEWS score of 280 or better (of whom fifty-nine are in the Hall of Fame and ten were still active in 2007). We will discuss these players in subsequent chapters.